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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Muniz v Souza Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Muniz 3
1 Souza
DWM pick Muniz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Muniz 24-8 VS 0-0 Souza
6'1" height
185 lb weight
78" reach
36 age
Southpaw stance
5.2 strikes landed / min
50% striking accuracy
4.9 strikes absorbed / min
59% striking defence
0.7 takedowns / 15 min
54% takedown accuracy
63% takedown defence
1.6 submissions / 15 min
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MW MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks André Muniz “i like jock ray i like his experience and if he doesn't win this fight i uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 know i don't know what to do this one's going to be a banger”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks André Muniz “i'm ultimately going to be going with Ronaldo Souza but i'll have some in these for sure”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ronaldo Souza VALUE “i like Ronaldo Souza here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ronaldo Souza VALUE “i think the pick's gotta be jacquere” $1.62
WM Walk The Line MMA picks André Muniz VALUE “i'm definitely gonna go with the new blood here um i like André Muniz he needs to sharpen up his striking a little bit more but he's going to have a six inch reach advantage here i like his jiu jitsu skills as well so it's not like jacare can go exploit him there and um jacare has been having a tough time i mean even though he lost a split decision to to jamblakovich uh john blockwich you know however you want to say it tomorrow tomato um so you know that's not necessarily a bad look going to a split decision with the the champion there uh but the holland fight was not a good look i don't like how he's he's 41 creeping up on 42 and then you have munez a guy that's creeping up to his prime that's really shown a lot of potential in my opinion um so you know that's why i am going to go with andre munoz”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Muniz24-8
L Shahbazyan KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Jun-yong Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Craig KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
L Allen Submission · R3 Feb '23
Souza0-0
L Muniz Submission · R1 May '21
L Holland KO/TKO · R1 Dec '20
L Błachowicz Decision · R5 Nov '19
L Hermansson Decision · R5 Apr '19
W Weidman KO/TKO · R3 Nov '18