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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Barboza v Burgos
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Barboza 24-12
VS
15-3 Burgos
5'11"
height
—
155 lb
weight
—
75"
reach
—
40
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
7.4
44%
striking accuracy
52%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
6.8
56%
striking defence
56%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
50%
takedown accuracy
44%
72%
takedown defence
91%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Shane Burgos
“i think Shane Burgos is going to walk down a very very exhausted barboza take him down if he wants to land those shots to the body and i think he's going to get a 10-8 round in the third against Edson Barboza and score himself for 29-27”
THE MMA GURU picks Shane Burgos
“i think Shane Burgos is going to walk down a very very exhausted barboza take him down if he wants to land those shots to the body and i think he's going to get a 10-8 round in the third against Edson Barboza and score himself for 29-27”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i think Edson Barboza gets a hard-fought win in an action-packed fight over Shane Burgos”
$2.40
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i think Edson Barboza gets a hard-fought win in an action-packed fight over Shane Burgos”
$2.40
MW
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Edson Barboza
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Edson Barboza
MW
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Shane Burgos
“the odds say that Shane Burgos is a slight favorite ooh minus 130 plus 105 even uh for barbosa i'm gonna go with barbosa the third fight at featherweight he looks like he adjusted much better in his last one and uh just killer even if it it lightweight as well”
$1.77
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Shane Burgos
“the odds say that Shane Burgos is a slight favorite ooh minus 130 plus 105 even uh for barbosa i'm gonna go with barbosa the third fight at featherweight he looks like he adjusted much better in his last one and uh just killer even if it it lightweight as well”
$1.77
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“my true prediction Edson Barboza wins two rounds to one here against a very game an incredible fighter Shane Burgos”
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“my true prediction Edson Barboza wins two rounds to one here against a very game an incredible fighter Shane Burgos”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Edson Barboza
“i think Edson Barboza is live for a knockout”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Edson Barboza
“i think Edson Barboza is live for a knockout”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shane Burgos VALUE
“i do lean towards Shane Burgos”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shane Burgos VALUE
“i do lean towards Shane Burgos”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm gonna take Edson Barboza to be able to land those kicks and to eventually stop Shane Burgos”
$1.77
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm gonna take Edson Barboza to be able to land those kicks and to eventually stop Shane Burgos”
$1.77
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Shane Burgos
“i'm going with Shane Burgos”
THE MMA GURU picks Shane Burgos
“i'm going with Shane Burgos”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i think barbosa more so we might see something nice from him if barba if uh burgos keeps those hands low uh you know josh emmett really looked good against Shane Burgos came in as a dog i made some money on that in that spot there too um Shane Burgos though very talented fighter i think it was a tight tiger shulman product those nasty calf kicks this should be an entertaining fight here um but you know i am taking my boy barbosa one of the nastiest strikers that we've ever seen bless the octagon a guy that is such a professional always comes in game and ready to go uh i think that you know edson barbossa is the way to go in my opinion”
$2.10
Walk The Line MMA picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i think barbosa more so we might see something nice from him if barba if uh burgos keeps those hands low uh you know josh emmett really looked good against Shane Burgos came in as a dog i made some money on that in that spot there too um Shane Burgos though very talented fighter i think it was a tight tiger shulman product those nasty calf kicks this should be an entertaining fight here um but you know i am taking my boy barbosa one of the nastiest strikers that we've ever seen bless the octagon a guy that is such a professional always comes in game and ready to go uh i think that you know edson barbossa is the way to go in my opinion”
$2.10
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i got a ride with Edson Barboza to win this fight”
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i got a ride with Edson Barboza to win this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
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L
Turner
Dec '25
L
Klose
Aug '25
L
Murphy
May '24
W
Yusuff
Oct '23
W
Quarantillo
Apr '23
Burgos15-3
W
Jourdain
Jul '22
W
Quarantillo
Nov '21
L
Barboza
May '21
L
Emmett
Jun '20
W
Amirkhani
Nov '19