Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen · Fight IQ

UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen

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BEST PRICE We back de Ridder over Allen · Middleweight Our fair value$1.37 DraftKings

pays above fair $1.52

Where to back de Ridder best price · region · EV vs fair $1.37

DraftKings $1.52 +11%

Paddy Power $1.50 +10%

Pinnacle $1.50 +10%

Unibet $1.48 +8%

PM PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.49

Consensus224 picks · conf 99/99

de Ridder 196

28 Allen

파

pick de Ridder

How it endsmethod calls · de Ridder · crowd line

KO/TKO 12 $2.17

Submission 3 $8.68

Decision 4 $6.51

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

de Ridder 21-3 VS 26-7 Allen

6'4" height 6'2"

186 lb weight 186 lb

78" reach 75"

35 age 30

Southpaw stance Orthodox

4.2 strikes landed / min 5.9

47% striking accuracy 36%

4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.5

59% striking defence 53%

2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.6

60% takedown accuracy 62%

87% takedown defence 53%

1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.7

AI analysis

Deep research · camps & rumours

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What the numbers say

Model vs market73% vs 66%

Consensus196 of 224 analysts

Sharpest anglede Ridder by KO/TKO — 12 of 19 method calls

Recommendation Back de Ridder @ $1.52 · fair $1.37 +11% EDGE

Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

The Rambling Dad picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I like Brendan Allen's”

Keep it a Buck Media picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “I have Reinier de Ridder. I think Reinier de Ridder finds his way to Brendan Allen's back. I think So, give me Reinier de Ridder to win this fight.”

Keep it a Buck Media picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I think Brendan Allen is going to being effective. I think Reinier de Ridder finds his way to Brendan Allen's back.”

Frozen Fists picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I'm taking Brendan Allen.”

MMAFightingonSBN picks Reinier de Ridder “Reinier de Ridder goes out there and submits Brendan Allen”

WARTIMEMMA picks Reinier de Ridder “going to go with Reinier de Ridder in this”

MMA FISHERMAN picks Reinier de Ridder “...”

RightTakeMMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I'm going to go with Reinier de Ridder purely off the fact of his uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 performance and the fact he was able to keep up in the striking with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1.”