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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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RR BA Ridder vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight KH MM Holland vs MalottMain Card · Welterweight MV AZ Vera vs ZahabiMain Card · Bantamweight MF JJ Fiorot vs JasudaviciusMain Card · Women'S Flyweight CG AQ Gibson vs QilengPreliminary Card · Bantamweight KN MF Nelson vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight CJ DG Jourdain vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight BS PH Silva vs Hyun-sungPreliminary Card · Flyweight DB DS Barlow vs SantosPreliminary Card · Middleweight KP DD Prepolec vs DoberPreliminary Card · Lightweight SL RO Luciano vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AB YB Bekoev vs BelgarouiPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC TL Croden vs LisboaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Gibson over Qileng · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.57 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $1.61
Where to back Gibson best price · region · EV vs fair $1.57
US FanDuel $1.56 -1%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.55 -1%
EU Unibet (SE) $1.61 +2%
AU Bet Right $1.57 -0%
Consensus145 picks · conf 99/99
Gibson 97
48 Qileng
NMALLR pick Gibson
How it endsmethod calls · Gibson · crowd line
Submission 1 $18.87
Decision 11 $1.72
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gibson 22-11 VS 8-8-1 Qileng
5'10" height 6'1"
136 lb weight 187 lb
71" reach 73"
38 age —
Orthodox stance Switch
5.7 strikes landed / min 2.8
56% striking accuracy 59%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
48% striking defence 59%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
62% takedown accuracy 40%
52% takedown defence 57%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market64% vs 62%
Consensus97 of 145 analysts
Sharpest angleGibson by Decision — 11 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Back Gibson @ $1.61 · fair $1.57 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Frozen Fists picks Cody Gibson VALUE “I'm going with NOT_IN_ROSTER_14.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Cody Gibson “I'm going to go Cody Gibson. Uh he might himself. So I'll go Cody Gibson. Yeah. Uh, I got Cody Gibson as well... I think Cody Gibson's going to win.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Cody Gibson “I'm just gonna take Cody Gibson by decision.”
FA Faustlife19 picks Aori Qileng “I got Cody Gibson by Aori Qileng.”
MK MMA WIZ KID picks Cody Gibson “Before that, Cody Gibson is taking out Cody Gibson's first fight. Then he lost fight Cody Gibson but then that fight Aori Qileng. And this is a big fight”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Cody Gibson “I like Cody Gibson a lot uh, at minus 200” $1.50
VI VinceMMA picks Cody Gibson “I'm a big fan of Cody Gibson. I think he gets this by round like 155 pounder in the cage.”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Cody Gibson “still believe Cody Gibson is a better striker style of Aori Qileng, Cody Gibson should do a against Aori Qileng. This along with the and better wrestler than Aori Qileng.”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Cody Gibson “expecting Cody Gibson to win by unanimous decision. Cody Gibson will use his Cody Gibson controls the vast majority of the decision victory. Cody Gibson's 70%”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Gibson “I'm going to pick Cody Gibson here.”
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Cody Gibson “Cody Gibson minus 180. ... Cody Gibson's never been really bad. Aori Qileng does swing hard, but Aori Qileng also does is end up the sub. ... I don't think Aori Qileng's” $1.56
NO NolanKnowsMMA picks Cody Gibson “I'm going to take the win to give it to Cody Gibson here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gibson22-11
L Qileng KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Blackshear Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Anheliger Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Kelleher Submission · R1 Jul '24
L Johns Decision · R3 Mar '24
Qileng8-8-1
L Haddon KO/TKO · R2 May '26
W Gibson KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Jr. Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Jr. Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Zahabi KO/TKO · R1 Jun '23