MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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RR BA Ridder vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight KH MM Holland vs MalottMain Card · Welterweight MV AZ Vera vs ZahabiMain Card · Bantamweight MF JJ Fiorot vs JasudaviciusMain Card · Women'S Flyweight CG AQ Gibson vs QilengPreliminary Card · Bantamweight KN MF Nelson vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight CJ DG Jourdain vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight BS PH Silva vs Hyun-sungPreliminary Card · Flyweight DB DS Barlow vs SantosPreliminary Card · Middleweight KP DD Prepolec vs DoberPreliminary Card · Lightweight SL RO Luciano vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AB YB Bekoev vs BelgarouiPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC TL Croden vs LisboaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Malott v Holland Welterweight Our fair value $1.99 best price $1.98 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Malott best price · region · EV vs fair $1.99
US BetOnline.ag $1.98 -1%
UK LeoVegas $1.92 -4%
EU Pinnacle $1.93 -3%
AU TABtouch $1.92 -4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.96
Consensus190 picks · conf 99/99
Holland 96
94 Malott
FENMLB pick Holland
How it endsmethod calls · Malott · crowd line
Submission 7 $3.13
Decision 4 $5.48
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15 VS 13-2-1 Malott
6'3" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
81" reach 73"
33 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.8
49% striking accuracy 56%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
50% striking defence 51%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
38% takedown accuracy 29%
54% takedown defence 60%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market50% vs 51%
Consensus94 of 190 analysts
Sharpest angleMalott by Submission — 7 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Mike Malott VALUE “Let's go with Mike Malott”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm going I'm going with Kevin Holland”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Mike Malott VALUE “I have Mike Malott. I have Mike Malott the proper way.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm gonna stay with my Mike Malott pick. You cannot get me to back Kevin Holland Mike Malott.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Kevin Holland “I favor Kevin Holland in this one.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Kevin Holland “I got uh Kevin Holland.”
MF MMA FISHERMAN picks Mike Malott “gonna have to go Mike Malott, but don't love”
MJ MMA Junkie picks Kevin Holland “Kevin Holland is an absolute freak”
RI RightTakeMMA picks Mike Malott “So yeah, I'm going to go with Mike Malott with a 29 28 decision.”
AM AA MMA picks Kevin Holland “I'mma pick um Kevin Holland”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Kevin Holland “I'm on the Kevin Holland side. I I think Kevin Holland done by by submission.”
FA Faustlife19 picks Mike Malott “So I'm gonna go Mike Malott by”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W Brown Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Malott Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Luque Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '25
Malott13-2-1
W Burns KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
W Holland Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Radtke KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Giles Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Magny KO/TKO · R3 Jan '24