MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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RR BA Ridder vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight KH MM Holland vs MalottMain Card · Welterweight MV AZ Vera vs ZahabiMain Card · Bantamweight MF JJ Fiorot vs JasudaviciusMain Card · Women'S Flyweight CG AQ Gibson vs QilengPreliminary Card · Bantamweight KN MF Nelson vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight CJ DG Jourdain vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight BS PH Silva vs Hyun-sungPreliminary Card · Flyweight DB DS Barlow vs SantosPreliminary Card · Middleweight KP DD Prepolec vs DoberPreliminary Card · Lightweight SL RO Luciano vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AB YB Bekoev vs BelgarouiPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC TL Croden vs LisboaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Grant over Jourdain · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.40 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.59
Where to back Grant best price · region · EV vs fair $2.40
US Bovada $2.55 +6%
UK Paddy Power $2.50 +4%
EU Pinnacle $2.59 +8%
AU PlayUp $2.55 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.70
Consensus153 picks · conf 99/99
Jourdain 77
76 Grant
BELLLB pick Jourdain
How it endsmethod calls · Grant · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $19.17
Submission 1 $19.17
Decision 6 $3.19
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jourdain 17-8-1 VS 17-8 Grant
5'9" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 69"
30 age 40
Switch stance Orthodox
2.8 strikes landed / min 3.9
55% striking accuracy 37%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
58% striking defence 74%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
57% takedown accuracy 52%
55% takedown defence 81%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market42% vs 39%
Consensus76 of 153 analysts
Sharpest angleGrant by Decision — 6 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Grant @ $2.59 · fair $2.40 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Charles Jourdain VALUE “I think Charles Jourdain is Charles Jourdain a win. give me Charles Jourdain to win.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Charles Jourdain “It's got Charles Jourdain going to rule.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Charles Jourdain “I got Charles Jourdain as well. I got Charles Jourdain, bro.”
RI RightTakeMMA picks Davey Grant “I'm going with Davey Grant, man. No doubt in the young.”
AM AA MMA picks Charles Jourdain “I'm going to go Charles Jourdain just cuz Charles Jourdain versus Davey Grant.”
SM Skath MMA picks Davey Grant “I'm going with Davey Grant.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Davey Grant VALUE “I've been on the side Davey Grant. Um whether or not that's true or especially at plus 700 against Davey Grant” $8.00
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Charles Jourdain “I think Charles Jourdain is going to win it. Probably via decision.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Davey Grant VALUE “I couldn't help gave this spot to Davey Grant.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Davey Grant “I have Davey Grant real reason to think Davey Grant wins confident enough to bet Davey Grant.”
MK MMA WIZ KID picks Davey Grant “I'm gonna have to go with Davey Grant.”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Davey Grant VALUE “I was looking at uh Davey Grant to win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jourdain17-8-1
W Phillips Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Grant Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Henry Submission · R2 Nov '24
L Silva KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
L Woodson Decision · R3 Jan '24
Grant17-8
W Martinetti Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Jourdain Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Blackshear Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Taveras Decision · R3 Dec '24
L Marcos Decision · R3 Jul '23