MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen
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RR BA Ridder vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight KH MM Holland vs MalottMain Card · Welterweight MV AZ Vera vs ZahabiMain Card · Bantamweight MF JJ Fiorot vs JasudaviciusMain Card · Women'S Flyweight CG AQ Gibson vs QilengPreliminary Card · Bantamweight KN MF Nelson vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight CJ DG Jourdain vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight BS PH Silva vs Hyun-sungPreliminary Card · Flyweight DB DS Barlow vs SantosPreliminary Card · Middleweight KP DD Prepolec vs DoberPreliminary Card · Lightweight SL RO Luciano vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AB YB Bekoev vs BelgarouiPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC TL Croden vs LisboaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Luciano v Oliveira Women'S Strawweight Our fair value $1.34 best price $1.35 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Luciano best price · region · EV vs fair $1.34
US Caesars $1.34 -0%
UK Paddy Power $1.33 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.35 +1%
AU Neds $1.35 +1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.37
Consensus126 picks · conf 99/99
Luciano 100
26 Oliveira
FNALBL pick Luciano
How it endsmethod calls · Luciano · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $18.77
Decision 13 $1.44
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Luciano 6-2-1 VS 7-3-1 Oliveira
5'6" height 5'5"
116 lb weight 115 lb
65" reach 65"
26 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 2.7
57% striking accuracy 42%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
53% striking defence 61%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
67% takedown accuracy 38%
53% takedown defence 53%
2.0 submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market75% vs 74%
Consensus100 of 126 analysts
Sharpest angleLuciano by Decision — 13 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE “I'm going to stick with Stephanie Luciano but I'm not confident in it.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Stephanie Luciano “I got Stephanie Luciano as well, but I weight. Stephanie Stephanie Luciano as EVENT_DETAILS have seen Stephanie Luciano, so call it bias, but I am going to go with Stephanie Luciano in this Stephanie Luciano is more entertaining.”
TO The Handsum One picks Stephanie Luciano “I'm riding with Stephanie Luciano over Ravena Oliveira.”
KM Kian Malhi picks Ravena Oliveira VALUE “I believe NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 will beat Brendan Allen.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Stephanie Luciano “Stephanie Luciano is simply better at MMA everywhere than Ravena Oliveira.”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Stephanie Luciano “So, yeah, give me Stephanie Luciano here.”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Stephanie Luciano “pretty clear win for Stephanie Luciano”
WP We Want Picks picks Stephanie Luciano “Stephanie Luciano taking on Ravena Oliveira”
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Stephanie Luciano “Stephanie Luciano minus 298 versus MMA enough to give Stephanie Luciano”
TP TCMMA Podcast picks Stephanie Luciano “Stephanie Luciano 3 to1 favorite. Let's see why. just a few fights in, Stephanie Luciano 5.4 four three rounds. Stephanie Luciano 80% takedown”
NO NolanKnowsMMA picks Stephanie Luciano “I think Stephanie Luciano.”
LM Le coin MMA picks Stephanie Luciano “without hesitation, I'm going to”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Luciano6-2-1
W Oliveira Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Hughes Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Alencar Decision · R3 Aug '24
Oliveira7-3-1
L Dyer KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
L Luciano Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Lisboa Decision · R3 Oct '23