Choose a fight to analyse
MH
CO
Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
CB
RR
Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight
RF
RJ
Font vs Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight
DD
MJ
Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
GR
BF
Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
CG
XL
Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RT
AM
Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
NT
Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
JA
Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
LF
RB
Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DJ
CB
Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
RT
DN
Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CO
Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
CB
RR
Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight
RF
RJ
Font vs Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight
DD
MJ
Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
GR
BF
Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
CG
XL
Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RT
AM
Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
NT
Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
JA
Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
LF
RB
Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DJ
CB
Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
RT
DN
Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Holloway
over Oliveira · Lightweight
Our fair value$1.53
1xBet
pays above fair
$1.55
Best prices · Holloway
FanDuel · US
$1.51
William Hill (UK) · UK
$1.50
1xBet · EU
$1.55
SportsBet · AU
$1.50
Where to back Holloway
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.53
US
FanDuel
$1.51
-2%
FanDuel
$1.51
-2%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$1.50
-2%
William Hill (UK)
$1.50
-2%
EU
1XB
1xBet
$1.55
+1%
AU
SportsBet
$1.50
-2%
SportsBet
$1.50
-2%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.56
How it endsmethod calls · Holloway · crowd line
KO/TKO
17
$2.80
Submission
6
$7.92
Decision
8
$5.94
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holloway 0-0
VS
36-11 Oliveira
5'11"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
69"
reach
74"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.8
strikes landed / min
3.7
46%
striking accuracy
48%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
59%
striking defence
53%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
39%
takedown accuracy
44%
79%
takedown defence
57%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
2.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 65%
Consensus268 of 400 analysts
Sharpest angleHolloway by KO/TKO — 17 of 31 method calls
Recommendation
Back Holloway @ $1.55 · fair $1.53
+1% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WA
WARTIMEMMA picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm going to say end of the second round could choke. Charles Oliveira wins.”
WARTIMEMMA picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm going to say end of the second round could choke. Charles Oliveira wins.”
WA
WARTIMEMMA picks Max Holloway
“I got Max Holloway. I think Max Holloway is going to win this fight.”
WARTIMEMMA picks Max Holloway
“I got Max Holloway. I think Max Holloway is going to win this fight.”
SS
SledgeHammer Sports picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm rolling with Charles Dub Bronx Olivea to beat Max Holloway by submission in round NOT_IN_ROSTER_11”
SledgeHammer Sports picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm rolling with Charles Dub Bronx Olivea to beat Max Holloway by submission in round NOT_IN_ROSTER_11”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Charles Oliveira
“the guys are we're all going Charles Oliveira.”
DMan&MariPulls picks Charles Oliveira
“the guys are we're all going Charles Oliveira.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Max Holloway
“My money is Max Holloway.”
DMan&MariPulls picks Max Holloway
“My money is Max Holloway.”
CS
Connor Smith picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I'm going to go with Max Holloway Max Holloway to retain his belt here.”
Connor Smith picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I'm going to go with Max Holloway Max Holloway to retain his belt here.”
TE
TeejMMA picks Max Holloway
“give me Max Holloway by TKO just going to be too fast for Charles Oliveira”
TeejMMA picks Max Holloway
“give me Max Holloway by TKO just going to be too fast for Charles Oliveira”
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I believe Max Holloway will get a KO or TKO in round three.”
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I believe Max Holloway will get a KO or TKO in round three.”
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I see him coming forward... take his back, sub him with their RNC.”
Industry Plant MMA picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I see him coming forward... take his back, sub him with their RNC.”
MM
MMAHOLICS picks Charles Oliveira
“I think Charles Oliveira is the harder hitter... I had Charles Oliveira winning fight”
MMAHOLICS picks Charles Oliveira
“I think Charles Oliveira is the harder hitter... I had Charles Oliveira winning fight”
GM
GLO MMA picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm picking Charles Oliveira.”
GLO MMA picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm picking Charles Oliveira.”
VI
Vicious421 picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I have a rule some fighters that don't go against. Max Holloway is kind of one of them. ... I'm going to go with Max Holloway. And I I think this fight is going to end up with a knockout for Max Holloway.”
Vicious421 picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I have a rule some fighters that don't go against. Max Holloway is kind of one of them. ... I'm going to go with Max Holloway. And I I think this fight is going to end up with a knockout for Max Holloway.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holloway0-0
L
Oliveira
Mar '26
W
Poirier
Jul '25
L
Topuria
Oct '24
W
Gaethje
Apr '24
W
Chan-sung
Aug '23
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24