MMA Prophecy
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UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Choose a fight to analyse
MH CO Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight CB RR Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight RF RJ Font vs Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight DD MJ Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight GR BF Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight CG XL Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight RT AM Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight CD NT Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM JA Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight LF RB Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight DJ CB Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight RT DN Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Montes v Turcios Featherweight Our fair value $1.57 best price $1.56 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Montes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.57
US BetOnline.ag $1.56 -1%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.55 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.54 -2%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.55 -1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.56
Consensus195 picks · conf 99/99
Turcios 68
127 Montes
MDBCDM pick Turcios
How it endsmethod calls · Montes · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $37.72
Submission 17 $2.22
Decision 6 $6.29
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Turcios 13-5 VS 11-1 Montes
5'9" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 145 lb
71" reach 69"
33 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min —
37% striking accuracy —
3.3 strikes absorbed / min —
55% striking defence —
0.9 takedowns / 15 min —
25% takedown accuracy —
45% takedown defence —
0.5 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market64% vs 64%
Consensus127 of 195 analysts
Sharpest angleMontes by Submission — 17 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Alberto Montes “Alberto Montes is 11 and one. I'm going to roll.”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Alberto Montes VALUE “I'm taking Montes by decision.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Alberto Montes VALUE “Alberto Montes is a lock of the card. There's no way Ricky Turcios can win a fight in 2026.”
DY DylanMMA picks Alberto Montes “I'll go with Alberto Montes by sub.”
AN AntUFC picks Alberto Montes VALUE “I'm gonna take Alberto Montes by submission in this fight”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Alberto Montes VALUE “I think Alberto Montes could just have his way in the striking, landing the more effective shots.”
LM Lightning MMA picks Alberto Montes VALUE “We got to go with Alberto Montes by submission second round”
JE JetChaosMMA picks Alberto Montes VALUE “I'm going to go Alberto Montes. ... I think Alberto Montes is going to out grapple him and out strike him on the feet. I think it's be relative on the feet, but give me Alberto Montes by submission.”
NI Nick23mma picks Ricky Turcios VALUE “I'm going to go with Montes on this one.”
VM Voice of MMA picks Alberto Montes VALUE “I'll take Alberto Montes to win this fight”
MB Matty Betss picks Alberto Montes “Alberto Montes by submission”
BP Battle Cage Podcast picks Ricky Turcios VALUE “I have to pick him. I'm not always, you know, the first one to pick the debuting guys, but when a guy is just that good... let's go with this guy.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Turcios13-5
L Montes Submission · R2 Mar '26
L Sopaj Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Jr. Submission · R2 Jun '24
W Natividad Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Jul '22
Montes11-1
W Turcios Submission · R2 Mar '26