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Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
CB
RR
Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight
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RJ
Font vs Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight
DD
MJ
Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
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BF
Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
CG
XL
Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RT
AM
Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
NT
Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SM
JA
Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
LF
RB
Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DJ
CB
Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
RT
DN
Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Santos Aguilar
over Mudaerji · Flyweight
Our fair value$2.73
Betsson
pays above fair
$2.95
Best prices · Santos Aguilar
BetRivers · US
$2.85
LiveScore Bet · UK
$2.85
Betsson · EU
$2.95
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$2.90
Where to back Santos Aguilar
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.73
US
BetRivers
$2.85
+4%
BetRivers
$2.85
+4%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$2.85
+4%
LiveScore Bet
$2.85
+4%
EU
BET
Betsson
$2.95
+8%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$2.90
+6%
PointsBet (AU)
$2.90
+6%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.86
How it endsmethod calls · Santos Aguilar · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$30.04
Submission
6
$5.01
Decision
4
$7.51
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mudaerji 15-12-2
VS
12-4 Santos Aguilar
6'7"
height
5'4"
192 lb
weight
125 lb
79"
reach
63"
—
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.0
strikes landed / min
5.3
63%
striking accuracy
50%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
61%
striking defence
48%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
3.0
53%
takedown accuracy
29%
72%
takedown defence
53%
1.8
submissions / 15 min
1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 34%
Consensus80 of 187 analysts
Sharpest angleSantos Aguilar by Submission — 6 of 11 method calls
Recommendation
Back Santos Aguilar @ $2.95 · fair $2.73
+8% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Su Mudaerji
“Yeah, we're going Su Mudaerji.”
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I'm taking Su Mudaerji by decision.”
DY
DylanMMA picks Su Mudaerji
“See, I'll go with Su Mudaerji.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Jesús Santos Aguilar
“So Jesús Santos Aguilar is going to win that one.”
AN
AntUFC picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I have Su Mudaerji in this fight by decision”
MT
Mark Berry TMA picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I got to go Sumari in this fight. I just don't see it from the Agalar standpoint... I think he wins the fight by decision”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“Jesús Santos Aguilar Money Line. Plus 215 was Jesús Santos Aguilar looks to have, I think, the key win streak.”
$3.15
NI
Nick23mma picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 on this one.”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jesús Santos Aguilar
“ready to bet Jesús Santos Aguilar because you're Jesús Santos Aguilar gets on the neck of Madari always talk about with Jesús Santos Aguilar, Jesús Santos Aguilar is just going to be weathering Jesús Santos Aguilar plus 200 as official pick.”
$3.00
BM
Bozing MMA picks Su Mudaerji
“I think Su Mudaerji is going to finish Jesús Santos Aguilar”
TG
THE MMA GUYS picks Su Mudaerji
“I think Su Mudaerji is going to beat the bricks of Jesús Santos Aguilar.”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“It is Jesús Santos Aguilar at 7100”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mudaerji15-12-2
W
Aguilar
Mar '26
W
Borjas
Aug '25
W
Raposo
Apr '25
L
Johnson
Oct '24
L
Elliott
Dec '23
Santos Aguilar12-4
L
Mudaerji
Mar '26
W
Gurule
Sep '25
L
Estevam
Feb '25
W
Nicoll
Aug '24
W
Mendonça
Feb '24