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UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
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MH CO Holloway vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight CB RR Borralho vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight RF RJ Font vs Jr.Main Card · Bantamweight DD MJ Dober vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight GR BF Rodrigues vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight CG XL Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight RT AM Turcios vs MontesPreliminary Card · Featherweight CD NT Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM JA Mudaerji vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight LF RB Fernandez vs BellatoEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight DJ CB Johnson vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight RT DN Tobias vs NurgozhayEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Garbrandt over Long · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.12 DraftKings pays above fair $2.54
Where to back Garbrandt best price · region · EV vs fair $2.12
US DraftKings $2.54 +20%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.40 +13%
EU Pinnacle $2.45 +15%
AU Ladbrokes AU $2.40 +13%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.44
Consensus226 picks · conf 99/99
Garbrandt 143
83 Long
KKFTMD pick Garbrandt
How it endsmethod calls · Garbrandt · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $8.49
Decision 9 $2.83
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Garbrandt 0-0 VS 0-0 Long
5'8" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 136 lb
65" reach 70"
34 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 5.6
40% striking accuracy 53%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
60% striking defence 52%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
34% takedown accuracy 69%
80% takedown defence 60%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market47% vs 39%
Consensus143 of 226 analysts
Sharpest angleGarbrandt by Decision — 9 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Back Garbrandt @ $2.54 · fair $2.12 +20% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Cody Garbrandt “I'm going to be picking Cody Garbrandt Deran over Nam Jarle T and Debor.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Cody Garbrandt “We're going to go with Cody Garbrandt on this.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I think Cody Garbrandt's going to come out there and I think it's going to be vintage Cody Garbrandt.”
DY DylanMMA picks Xiao Long “I'll go Xiao Long just cuz I can't pick Cody Garbrandt to win a UFC fight in 2025.”
KU Kunath picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I think his chin succumbs to that Chinese output.”
HI HilexMMA picks Cody Garbrandt “I'm just going to go with Cody Garbrandt for the love of the game.”
AN AntUFC picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I believe he can find a TKO round two or three. Maybe a decision win here over Xiao Long who has uh faced I believe it was Koreans in his last three”
GA Gaup picks Xiao Long “I think Xiao Long's gonna give me Xiao Long to get it done.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Xiao Long VALUE “Give me Xiao Long. I like the power that he has on his on his punches.”
NI Nick23mma picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I'm going to go with Cody Garbrand on this one.”
TP The Touch Gloves Podcast picks Cody Garbrandt VALUE “I am predicting a Cody Garbrand finish here.”
BP Battle Cage Podcast picks Xiao Long VALUE “Cody lost to to Joshua Van, current champ. He lost to a knockout to Joseé Oshot.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Garbrandt0-0
W Long Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Figueiredo Submission · R2 Apr '24
W Kelleher KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Jones Decision · R3 Mar '23
Long0-0
L Garbrandt Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Su-young Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Le KO/TKO · R3 Nov '24
L Chang-ho Decision · R3 Jun '24