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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
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AA MC Allen vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight CD DS Doo-ho vs SantosMain Card · Featherweight MW JD Wellmaker vs DíazMain Card · Bantamweight TC BS Cuamba vs SopajMain Card · Bantamweight TT IE Tokkos vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KV JC Vieira vs CavalcantiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CB AP Brundage vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight AA PV Ardelean vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight DB LG Barez vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight SB NC Bannon vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight KW NV Williams vs VeretennikovMain Card · Welterweight MB CE Bukauskas vs EdwardsMain Card · Catchweight TG AM Gantt vs MinevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Wellmaker over Díaz · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.30 Fliff pays above fair $1.43
Where to back Wellmaker best price · region · EV vs fair $1.30
US Fliff $1.43 +10%
UK Virgin Bet $1.38 +6%
EU Pinnacle $1.40 +8%
AU Unibet $1.38 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.39
Consensus117 picks · conf 94/99
Wellmaker 106
11 Díaz
MMWFJW pick Wellmaker
How it endsmethod calls · Wellmaker · crowd line
KO/TKO 13 $2.70
Decision 14 $2.51
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wellmaker 10-1 VS 0-0 Díaz
5'10" height —
144 lb weight —
71" reach —
32 age —
Switch stance —
8.1 strikes landed / min —
66% striking accuracy —
7.7 strikes absorbed / min —
54% striking defence —
0.0 takedowns / 15 min —
0% takedown accuracy —
100% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 70%
Consensus106 of 117 analysts
Sharpest angleWellmaker by Decision — 14 of 27 method calls
Recommendation Back Wellmaker @ $1.43 · fair $1.30 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RR Rising the Ranks picks Malcolm Wellmaker “the strongest pick for me is Malcolm M well maker by decision”
BM Bum MMA picks Malcolm Wellmaker “get a decision win here over Juan Díaz”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Malcolm Wellmaker “Give me Malcolm Wellmaker.” $1.36
UB UFC Brasil picks Juan Díaz “Juan Díaz versus Malcolm Wellmaker. And in the bantamweight division, Juan Díaz”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Malcolm Wellmaker “Give me Malcolm Wellmaker over Juan Juan Díaz by decision”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Malcolm Wellmaker “I'm going Malcolm Wellmaker to get back on track and to get a finish.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Juan Díaz VALUE “I'm going with Juan Díaz on the money line. ... I think Juan Díaz is going to make this super grueling for Malcolm Wellmaker and just grind himself out to winning a decision.” $3.20
MT MMA Tugg picks Malcolm Wellmaker “I think this is pointing towards a Malcolm Wellmaker highlight reel type of knockout.”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Malcolm Wellmaker “I think Malcolm Wellmaker gets a win.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Juan Díaz VALUE “I am betting Juan Díaz” $3.30
BG Bettor in Green picks Malcolm Wellmaker “I guess I'll go well maker money line.” $1.36
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Malcolm Wellmaker “Let's go with Malcolm Wellmaker to win a 29-28”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wellmaker10-1
L Díaz Submission · R2 May '26
L Ewing Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Moutinho KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Saaiman KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
Díaz0-0
W Wellmaker Submission · R2 May '26