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Tokkos vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Doo-ho vs SantosMain Card · Featherweight
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Cuamba vs SopajMain Card · Bantamweight
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Tokkos vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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JC
Vieira vs CavalcantiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CB
AP
Brundage vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AA
PV
Ardelean vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
DB
LG
Barez vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight
SB
NC
Bannon vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Williams vs VeretennikovMain Card · Welterweight
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Bukauskas vs EdwardsMain Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Tokkos
over Erslan · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$2.16
pays above fair
$2.50
Best prices · Tokkos
BetMGM · US
$2.50
Coolbet · EU
$2.48
SportsBet · AU
$2.41
Where to back Tokkos
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.16
US
BetMGM
$2.50
+16%
BetMGM
$2.50
+16%
UK
Betway
$2.40
+11%
EU
Coolbet
$2.48
+15%
Coolbet
$2.48
+15%
AU
SportsBet
$2.41
+11%
SportsBet
$2.41
+11%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.56
How it endsmethod calls · Tokkos · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$32.47
Submission
7
$4.64
Decision
7
$4.64
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tokkos 11-5
VS
14-6 Erslan
6'4"
height
6'2"
206 lb
weight
206 lb
76"
reach
72"
36
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
3.8
43%
striking accuracy
53%
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
45%
striking defence
71%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
100%
takedown accuracy
33%
33%
takedown defence
80%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market46% vs 40%
Consensus61 of 103 analysts
Sharpest angleTokkos by Submission — 7 of 15 method calls
Recommendation
Back Tokkos @ $2.50 · fair $2.16
+16% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RR
Rising the Ranks picks Tuco Tokkos VALUE
“I'm going to put Tuco Tokkos on my parlays”
BM
Bum MMA picks Tuco Tokkos VALUE
“I'm gonna say the same thing. Tuco Tokkos is going to come out here.”
$2.50
UB
UFC Brasil picks Ivan Erslan
“Ivan Erslan versus”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Ivan Erslan
“I'm going Ivan Erslan by first round KO”
RS
Round 3: Prediction Show picks Ivan Erslan
“Tuco Tokkos versus Yvon Ivan Erslan. I'm going to go with Ivan Erslan.”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Tuco Tokkos VALUE
“I'm going with Tuco Tokkos to win this by submission. ... give me Tuco Tokkos by sub plus 490”
$5.90
PH
Philyflishow999 picks Tuco Tokkos
“I have a feeling Tuco Tokkos is going to use grappling to his advantage to win that fight. And I think Tuco Tokkos gets that win.”
AU
Austin picks Tuco Tokkos
“I'm going with Tuco Tokkos anyway no matter what people I'm going with Tuco Tokkos in this fight.”
TS
The Sports Scientist picks Tuco Tokkos
“I'll take too close to win by decision”
HZ
Hank's War Zone picks Ivan Erslan
“give me Ivan Erslan by round two knockout.”
BP
Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Tuco Tokkos
“on to Tuco Tokkos at plus 140 versus Ivan Erslan >> ... we got Tuco Tokkos”
$2.40
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tokkos11-5
L
Erslan
May '26
W
Tafa
Jul '25
L
Stirling
Dec '24
L
Sy
May '24
Erslan14-6
W
Tokkos
May '26
L
Crute
Sep '25
L
Stirling
May '25
L
Cuțelaba
Sep '24