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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
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AA MC Allen vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight CD DS Doo-ho vs SantosMain Card · Featherweight MW JD Wellmaker vs DíazMain Card · Bantamweight TC BS Cuamba vs SopajMain Card · Bantamweight TT IE Tokkos vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KV JC Vieira vs CavalcantiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CB AP Brundage vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight AA PV Ardelean vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight DB LG Barez vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight SB NC Bannon vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight KW NV Williams vs VeretennikovMain Card · Welterweight MB CE Bukauskas vs EdwardsMain Card · Catchweight TG AM Gantt vs MinevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Williams over Veretennikov · Welterweight Our fair value$1.79 Coolbet pays above fair $1.93
Where to back Williams best price · region · EV vs fair $1.79
US BetMGM $1.87 +4%
UK Betway $1.83 +2%
EU Coolbet $1.93 +8%
AU SportsBet $1.85 +3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.92
Consensus99 picks · conf 84/99
Williams 62
37 Veretennikov
WA_WBS pick Williams
How it endsmethod calls · Williams · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $2.31
Decision 2 $8.07
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Williams 15-5 VS 14-7 Veretennikov
6'0" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 170 lb
77" reach 74"
32 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 5.6
39% striking accuracy 60%
5.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
42% striking defence 55%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
0% takedown accuracy 41%
80% takedown defence 65%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 52%
Consensus62 of 99 analysts
Sharpest angleWilliams by KO/TKO — 7 of 9 method calls
Recommendation Back Williams @ $1.93 · fair $1.79 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RR Rising the Ranks picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I think Nikolay Veretennikov can edge this and can win this”
BM Bum MMA picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I think Nikolay Veretennikov is going to put up more strikes, be more skillful, and win this fight by decision.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Khaos Williams VALUE “Give me Khaos Williams.” $1.91
UB UFC Brasil picks Khaos Williams “I'm taking Khaos Williams”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Khaos Williams “Khaos Williams by KO isn't a bad”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I'm going to have to go with Very Tenkov.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Nikolay Veretennikov VALUE “I'm going with Nikolay Veretennikov to win this by specifically decision. ... I got 0.28 units on his decision prop plus 380.” $4.80
PH Philyflishow999 picks Khaos Williams “I'm going Khaos Williams here. He's got the better game plan. He's got the better MMA skill set to win this fight.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I'll take Chaos Khaos Williams with you as well” $1.95
BG Bettor in Green picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I think I'm actually going to go with Khaos Williams KO here at plus 240.” $3.40
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I'm going to side with Nikolay Veretennikov to win the match up”
AU Austin picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I don't see how you don't go with Nikolay Veretennikov in this one people.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Williams15-5
W Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Gustafsson Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Bonfim Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Bedoya Decision · R3 May '23
Veretennikov14-7
L Williams KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Price KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Soriano Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Prado Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Vanderford KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25