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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
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AA MC Allen vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight CD DS Doo-ho vs SantosMain Card · Featherweight MW JD Wellmaker vs DíazMain Card · Bantamweight TC BS Cuamba vs SopajMain Card · Bantamweight TT IE Tokkos vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KV JC Vieira vs CavalcantiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CB AP Brundage vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight AA PV Ardelean vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight DB LG Barez vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight SB NC Bannon vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight KW NV Williams vs VeretennikovMain Card · Welterweight MB CE Bukauskas vs EdwardsMain Card · Catchweight TG AM Gantt vs MinevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Cavalcanti over Vieira · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$1.63 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.69
Where to back Cavalcanti best price · region · EV vs fair $1.63
US BetUS $1.69 +4%
UK LeoVegas $1.67 +2%
EU Pinnacle $1.69 +4%
AU Bet Right $1.68 +3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.67
Consensus108 picks · conf 89/99
Vieira 35
73 Cavalcanti
MTSTTD pick Vieira
How it endsmethod calls · Cavalcanti · crowd line
Submission 1 $45.65
Decision 27 $1.69
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vieira 16-5 VS 10-1 Cavalcanti
5'8" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 70"
34 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.3 strikes landed / min 6.0
48% striking accuracy 49%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
49% striking defence 72%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
65% takedown accuracy 0%
74% takedown defence 90%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 59%
Consensus73 of 108 analysts
Sharpest angleCavalcanti by Decision — 27 of 28 method calls
Recommendation Back Cavalcanti @ $1.69 · fair $1.63 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RR Rising the Ranks picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “I have to go with Jacqueline Cavalcanti by decision”
CS CBS Sports picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “especially if Jacqueline Cavalcanti can score what would likely amount to be the biggest victory in her UFC run so far”
BM Bum MMA picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “I like Ketlen Vieira here, but I'm not going to choose her.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Ketlen Vieira VALUE “Give me Catelyn Ketlen Vieira.” $2.45
UB UFC Brasil picks Ketlen Vieira “Ketlen Vieira. Jacqueline Cavalcanti versus number five”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “I'm going Jacqueline Cavalcanti by decision”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “Ketlen Vieira versus Jacqueline Cavalcanti. I'm going to go with Jacqueline Cavalcanti.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti VALUE “I'm going with Jacqueline Cavalcanti to win this by decision, plus 105.” $2.05
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “my prediction's going to be Jacquiline Cavalcanti to win on the judges' scorecards”
AU Austin picks Ketlen Vieira “We're gonna go with Ketlen Vieira to beat Jacqueline Cavalcanti.”
TS The Sports Scientist picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “I'm going to take Jacqueline Cavalcanti to win by decision”
HZ Hank's War Zone picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti “Have Jacqueline Cavalcanti. Um I'm going to go with Jacqueline Cavalcanti in this one... give me Jacqueline Cavalcanti to beat”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vieira16-5
W Cavalcanti Decision · R3 May '26
L Dumont Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Chiasson Decision · R3 May '25
L Harrison Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Kianzad Decision · R3 Jul '23
Cavalcanti10-1
L Vieira Decision · R3 May '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Avila Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Cornolle Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Nunes Decision · R3 Aug '24