MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
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RF MT Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight SM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight NS MC Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight AA CJ Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight IA BF Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight AM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight FH EN Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight AY JW Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NR AP Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight KO JR Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight DD TB Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA JM Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TA JN Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Torres v Fiziev Lightweight Our fair value $1.98 best price $1.94 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Torres best price · region · EV vs fair $1.98
US FanDuel $1.93 -3%
UK LeoVegas $1.93 -3%
EU 1xBet $1.94 -2%
AU Unibet $1.93 -3%
Consensus179 picks · conf 99/99
Fiziev 88
91 Torres
UTPBTU pick Fiziev
How it endsmethod calls · Torres · crowd line
KO/TKO 21 $2.17
Submission 1 $45.61
Decision 1 $45.61
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fiziev 13-5 VS 17-3 Torres
5'8" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 156 lb
71" reach 73"
33 age 31
Switch stance Switch
4.9 strikes landed / min 7.2
51% striking accuracy 55%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
49% striking defence 52%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
40% takedown accuracy 66%
89% takedown defence 88%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market50% vs 52%
Consensus91 of 179 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.96 → $1.95
Sharpest angleTorres by KO/TKO — 21 of 23 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Manuel Torres “I think he gets this done probably third or fourth round by KO.”
CB Champ Bets picks Rafael Fiziev “I love Rafael Fiziev in this spot. I think he gets the job done”
LS Lucid Sports picks Manuel Torres “I'm lean Manuel Torres again.”
TA The True Analyst picks Rafael Fiziev “I'd say phys by kot in the second round guys”
BM Breakdown MMA picks Rafael Fiziev “I'm going to give Rafael Fiziev my clue. I mean, I'm going with Fisel because Rafael Fiziev is just too hard.”
JH Jamahal Hill picks Rafael Fiziev “Rafael Fiziev.”
NI Nick23mma picks Rafael Fiziev “So yeah, I got Rafael Faz by third round finish by like I don't know breaking Manuel Torres or like u catching with something to like finish him in a TKO sequence.”
CM Clutch Attitude MMA picks Manuel Torres “I'm going to go with Manuel Torres to get this done, man. I'm going to go with Manuel Torres to get this done. Rafael Fiziev's days are far behind him.”
HN Hyde Park Ninjas picks Rafael Fiziev “I gotta go with Rafael Fiziev in this fight.”
MA MMA Attic picks Manuel Torres “all three models are in favor of Manuel Torres at -110.” $1.91
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Rafael Fiziev “Give me Rafael Fiziev.”
JM Jay Jay MMA picks Manuel Torres “I think that Manuel Torres is just going to come out there guns blazing and he's going to do Hafa Alaz badly.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fiziev13-5
W Torres KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Bahamondes Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Gaethje Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Gamrot KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
Torres17-3
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Bahamondes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Duncan Submission · R1 Feb '24