MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
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RF MT Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight SM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight NS MC Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight AA CJ Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight IA BF Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight AM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight FH EN Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight AY JW Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NR AP Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight KO JR Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight DD TB Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA JM Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TA JN Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matsumoto v Almakhan Bantamweight Our fair value $1.65 best price $1.62 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Matsumoto best price · region · EV vs fair $1.65
US FanDuel $1.61 -2%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.62 -2%
EU Betsson $1.62 -2%
AU PlayUp $1.60 -3%
Consensus124 picks · conf 98/99
Almakhan 49
75 Matsumoto
NNJTCL pick Almakhan
How it endsmethod calls · Matsumoto · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $28.00
Submission 1 $55.99
Decision 31 $1.81
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almakhan 12-3 VS 17-2 Matsumoto
5'7" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 69"
28 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
0.2 strikes landed / min 5.2
18% striking accuracy 40%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
30% striking defence 46%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
0% takedown accuracy 27%
0% takedown defence 57%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 62%
Consensus75 of 124 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.67 → $1.63
Sharpest angleMatsumoto by Decision — 31 of 34 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE “Give me Bekzat Almakhan here by decision to get this one done.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Jean Matsumoto “I really uh I really like him to probably win by either KO or decision here.”
CB Champ Bets picks Jean Matsumoto “I do think he wins, but I wouldn't be s surprised if like it's it's a close decision.”
TA The True Analyst picks Bekzat Almakhan “yeah man I'mma go with Bekzat Almakhan guys.”
BM Breakdown MMA picks Jean Matsumoto “And that's it, our P will be Jean Matsumoto.”
NI Nick23mma picks Bekzat Almakhan “I think he's going to win a decision victory here or a second round finish.”
CM Clutch Attitude MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan “I'm going to go with Bekzat Almakhan to get this done. He's the hometown. Well, not hometown, but closest to hometown. Uh, so let me go with Beckad Alicon to get this done by decision. Okay. Yes, I think he's been fighting the strength of schedule is much better. So, I'm gonna go with um Bekzat Almakhan again.”
MM mmanow27 picks Jean Matsumoto “I like Jean Matsumoto in this. I like his pressure. I like his kicks. I like when he decides to wrestle. He's a really good grappler.”
HN Hyde Park Ninjas picks Jean Matsumoto “I'm going with Jean Matsumoto.”
MA MMA Attic picks Jean Matsumoto “all three models favor him to win.” $1.66
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Jean Matsumoto “I'm going to have to pick Jean Matsumoto though.”
JM Jay Jay MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan “I think that he's going to win this one by decision by simply outpointing Jean Matsumoto”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almakhan12-3
L Matsumoto Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Topuria Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Katona KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Mar '24
Matsumoto17-2
W Almakhan Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Basharat Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Johns Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Font Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Katona Decision · R3 Oct '24