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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
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RF MT Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight SM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight NS MC Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight AA CJ Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight IA BF Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight AM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight FH EN Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight AY JW Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NR AP Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight KO JR Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight DD TB Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA JM Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TA JN Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Donchenko over Berggren · Welterweight Our fair value$1.14 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.22
Where to back Donchenko best price · region · EV vs fair $1.14
US BetOnline.ag $1.22 +7%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.21 +6%
EU Coolbet $1.20 +5%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.20 +5%
Consensus115 picks · conf 93/99
Donchenko 114
1 Berggren
NPNHDS pick Donchenko
How it endsmethod calls · Donchenko · crowd line
KO/TKO 31 $1.48
Submission 1 $45.79
Decision 8 $5.72
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Donchenko 14-2 VS 8-3 Berggren
5'11" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
71" reach —
24 age 26
Orthodox stance --
5.2 strikes landed / min —
56% striking accuracy —
4.1 strikes absorbed / min —
56% striking defence —
1.6 takedowns / 15 min —
66% takedown accuracy —
82% takedown defence —
0.2 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market87% vs 82%
Consensus114 of 115 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.22 → $1.22
Sharpest angleDonchenko by KO/TKO — 31 of 40 method calls
Recommendation Back Donchenko @ $1.22 · fair $1.14 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “I'm going to be honest, I think Daniil Donchenko is just going to run through this guy.”
CB Champ Bets picks Daniil Donchenko “I think it's a Daniil Donchenko run over.”
TA The True Analyst picks Daniil Donchenko “I'll go with Daniil Donchenko. Daniil Donchenko by decision, but not confident.”
BM Breakdown MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “I really see Daniil Donchenko getting a knockout win, maybe in the first or second round”
NI Nick23mma picks Daniil Donchenko “I'm going to go with Daniil Donchenko. Either finish him in the first two rounds or win a decision victory here.”
CM Clutch Attitude MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “I'm going to go with Daniil Donchenko to get this done. TKO round two. I'm going to go with that. Maybe a TKO round one.”
YO YoungPastey picks Daniil Donchenko “Get another highlight reel. Daniil Donchenko the highlight reel coming in with the KO. All right, that's what my that's my anticipation here.”
MM mmanow27 picks Daniil Donchenko “I like Daniil Donchenko in this one, Daniil Donchenko. I think he is really, really good with this matchup”
HN Hyde Park Ninjas picks Daniil Donchenko “I'm going Daniil Donchenko. This one's a no-brainer.”
MA MMA Attic picks Daniil Donchenko “This weekend we'll again be betting on Daniil Donchenko, and again, he is a sizable favorite.” $1.22
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Daniil Donchenko “Yeah, I got to stick with Daniil Daniil Donchenko here.”
JM Jay Jay MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “I just think that he's going to experience Max and I think that's the way that he's going to beat Theodor Berggren”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Donchenko14-2
W Berggren KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Morono Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Sezinando KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
Berggren8-3
L Donchenko KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26