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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
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RF MT Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight SM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight NS MC Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight AA CJ Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight IA BF Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight AM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight FH EN Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight AY JW Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NR AP Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight KO JR Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight DD TB Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA JM Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TA JN Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Magomedov over Oleksiejczuk · Middleweight Our fair value$2.03 Caesars pays above fair $2.05
Where to back Magomedov best price · region · EV vs fair $2.03
US Caesars $2.05 +1%
UK Paddy Power $2.00 -1%
EU Pinnacle $2.03 +0%
AU SportsBet $2.02 -0%
Consensus133 picks · conf 99/99
Magomedov 68
65 Oleksiejczuk
NNHJTT pick Magomedov
How it endsmethod calls · Magomedov · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $19.59
Submission 12 $4.90
Decision 14 $4.20
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Magomedov 28-7-1 VS 22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'2" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 74"
35 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.1
38% striking accuracy 50%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
74% striking defence 58%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
60% takedown accuracy 43%
65% takedown defence 48%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market49% vs 49%
Consensus68 of 133 analysts
Line move · 7d$2.05 → $2.05
Sharpest angleMagomedov by Decision — 14 of 29 method calls
Recommendation Back Magomedov @ $2.05 · fair $2.03 +1% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “give me Abusupiyan Magomedov here to round out EVENT_DETAILS, the last leg to cash for us, and he'll get it done inside the distance by submission.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm picking Abusupiyan Magomedov, but I'm not extremely confident.”
CB Champ Bets picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm going to take Michał Oleksiejczuk to get the job done.”
LS Lucid Sports picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm purely going Abusupiyan Magomedov because his name is Maga Medov and uh Michał Oleksiejczuk lost to Abusupiyan Magomedov already. So let's continue the trend.”
LS Lucid Sports picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm going to go with Michał Oleksiejczuk man. I feel like he he he on a nice little win streak right now.”
TA The True Analyst picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm I'm I'm going take a chance on a bus. I'm I'm I'm gonna say a bus by uh submission guys in the first round”
JH Jamahal Hill picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “You like a Abusupiyan Magomedov?”
JH Jamahal Hill picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “With Michał Oleksiejczuk?”
NI Nick23mma picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm going to go Abusupiyan Magomedov by decision.”
CM Clutch Attitude MMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm going to go with a I'm going to go with a decision or maybe a late TKO because Abuz Magamed off's gas tank is not like it used to.”
YO YoungPastey picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I think Abu Magome wins it by decision and that's at like plus 750 which is crazy because he he's done it a few times in the UFC.” $1.95
HN Hyde Park Ninjas picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm going Abusupiyan Magomedov on this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Magomedov28-7-1
W Oleksiejczuk Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Pyfer Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Pereira Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Ferreira Submission · R3 Oct '24
W Alves Decision · R3 May '24
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L Magomedov Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Barriault Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Meerschaert KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Dumas KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Aug '24