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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
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RF MT Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight SM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight NS MC Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight AA CJ Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight IA BF Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight AM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight FH EN Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight AY JW Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NR AP Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight KO JR Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight DD TB Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA JM Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TA JN Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Reyes over Ofli · Featherweight Our fair value$1.41 BetMGM pays above fair $1.56
Where to back Reyes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.41
US BetMGM $1.56 +11%
UK Paddy Power $1.44 +2%
EU NordicBet $1.50 +7%
AU PlayUp $1.45 +3%
Consensus117 picks · conf 94/99
Ofli 22
95 Reyes
JBCCDF pick Ofli
How it endsmethod calls · Reyes · crowd line
KO/TKO 19 $2.00
Submission 2 $18.99
Decision 6 $6.33
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ofli 14-4-1 VS 23-5 Reyes
5'7" height 5'10"
145 lb weight 145 lb
66" reach 73"
33 age 32
Orthodox stance --
4.1 strikes landed / min
48% striking accuracy
4.8 strikes absorbed / min
52% striking defence
1.9 takedowns / 15 min
74% takedown accuracy
78% takedown defence
1.6 submissions / 15 min
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market71% vs 64%
Consensus95 of 117 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.60$1.50
Sharpest angleReyes by KO/TKO — 19 of 27 method calls
Recommendation Back Reyes @ $1.56 · fair $1.41 +11% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Javier Reyes VALUE “give me Javier Javier Reyes here to knock out NOT_IN_ROSTER_4.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Kaan Ofli “So give me Kaan Ofli.”
CB Champ Bets picks Javier Reyes “I think Javier Reyes gets a job done and finds a chin on NOT_IN_ROSTER_73 and really like puts a pace on him”
TA The True Analyst picks Javier Reyes “I say Javier Reyes by Kot in the second round guys.”
NI Nick23mma picks Javier Reyes “he's going to chin Kaan Ofli with like a straight punch or like a hook.”
CM Clutch Attitude MMA picks Kaan Ofli VALUE “I'm gonna roll with him. This is an underdog pick. I think he's going to close as a pretty good uh underdog. So, I'm going to take him for the pick. I'm going to take Kaan Ofli to get this done.”
YO YoungPastey picks Javier Reyes “Sharabutdin Magomedov, Javier Reyes minus 103. We're putting two units on it.” $1.97
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Javier Reyes “I'm going to pick him to win.”
JM Jay Jay MMA picks Kaan Ofli “I think Kaan Ofli is probably gonna win this one by decision.”
TM The MMA Mystic picks Javier Reyes “I think that he'll get this one done by KO.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Javier Reyes “My pick here is Javier Reyes”
BP Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Kaan Ofli VALUE “I went with the dog just because I don't trust Javier Reyes.” $2.60
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ofli14-4-1
W Reyes Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Zha Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Yizha Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Ramos Submission · R1 Oct '25
L Naimov Decision · R3 Feb '25
Reyes23-5
L Ofli Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Andrade KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26