Choose a fight to analyse
MK
AA
Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight
CB
JM
Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight
NH
ER
Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight
HA
WG
Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight
SP
DB
Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight
MP
AL
Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CM
RR
Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DS
LA
Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JA
AL
Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RT
CJ
Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
AA
Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight
CB
JM
Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight
NH
ER
Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight
HA
WG
Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight
SP
DB
Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight
MP
AL
Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CM
RR
Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DS
LA
Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JA
AL
Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RT
CJ
Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Kape v Almabayev
Flyweight
Our fair value
$1.51
best price $1.49
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Kape
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US
DraftKings
$1.49
-1%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.46
-3%
LiveScore Bet
$1.46
-3%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.49
-1%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.47
-3%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.47
-3%
How it endsmethod calls · Kape · crowd line
KO/TKO
17
$2.84
Decision
14
$3.45
None
1
$48.27
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kape 22-7
VS
23-3 Almabayev
5'5"
height
5'4"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
68"
reach
65"
32
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
2.1
53%
striking accuracy
56%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
1.0
59%
striking defence
59%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
5.1
33%
takedown accuracy
50%
73%
takedown defence
50%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 67%
Consensus53 of 79 analysts
Sharpest angleKape by KO/TKO — 17 of 32 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Manel Kape VALUE
“my official pick is uh manell Cat fourth round submission or knockout”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Manel Kape
“No direct quote available as no prediction was made.”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“I am going to be picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 Asu Almabayev is good but he doesn't throw a jab he doesn't set things up with a jab”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Manel Kape VALUE
“will Manel cop get another Victory and maybe just maybe solidify himself self as a number one Contender”
PH
Philyflishow999 picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“take that plus 175 with Asu Almabayev and you will be super happy after the main event”
$2.75
MA
MarshhMMA picks Manel Kape
“I'm going to say montala Delarosa”
AP
Anik & Florian Podcast picks Asu Almabayev
“I'm doing 200 on Asu Almabayev”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kape22-7
W
Horiguchi
Jun '26
W
Royval
Dec '25
W
Almabayev
Mar '25
W
Silva
Dec '24
L
Mokaev
Jul '24
Almabayev23-3
W
Johnson
Jun '26
W
Perez
Nov '25
W
Ochoa
Jul '25
L
Kape
Mar '25
W
Nicolau
Oct '24