MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
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MK AA Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight CB JM Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight NH ER Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight HA WG Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight SP DB Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight MP AL Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CM RR Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight DS LA Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA AL Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RT CJ Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Kape v Almabayev Flyweight Our fair value $1.51 best price $1.49 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Kape best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US DraftKings $1.49 -1%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.46 -3%
EU Pinnacle $1.49 -1%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.47 -3%
Consensus79 picks · conf 78/99
Kape 53
26 Almabayev
TBRMSO pick Kape
How it endsmethod calls · Kape · crowd line
KO/TKO 17 $2.84
Decision 14 $3.45
None 1 $48.27
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kape 22-7 VS 23-3 Almabayev
5'5" height 5'4"
126 lb weight 125 lb
68" reach 65"
32 age 32
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 2.1
53% striking accuracy 56%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 1.0
59% striking defence 59%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 5.1
33% takedown accuracy 50%
73% takedown defence 50%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 67%
Consensus53 of 79 analysts
Sharpest angleKape by KO/TKO — 17 of 32 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Manel Kape VALUE “my official pick is uh manell Cat fourth round submission or knockout”
GP Greedo Plays picks Manel Kape “No direct quote available as no prediction was made.”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “I went with karolina” $1.88
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Manel Kape “my subscribers and I went with Manel cab” $1.43
MP MMA Prophecy picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “I am going to be picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 Asu Almabayev is good but he doesn't throw a jab he doesn't set things up with a jab”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Manel Kape “the pick is manell cop to win” $1.44
BG Bettor in Green picks Manel Kape “I guess I'll just say cop money line” $1.46
BG Bettor in Green picks Asu Almabayev “Bobby is on the ASU Alaba money line” $2.80
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Manel Kape VALUE “will Manel cop get another Victory and maybe just maybe solidify himself self as a number one Contender”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Asu Almabayev VALUE “take that plus 175 with Asu Almabayev and you will be super happy after the main event” $2.75
MA MarshhMMA picks Manel Kape “I'm going to say montala Delarosa”
AP Anik & Florian Podcast picks Asu Almabayev “I'm doing 200 on Asu Almabayev”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kape22-7
W Horiguchi KO/TKO · R3 Jun '26
W Royval KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Almabayev KO/TKO · R3 Mar '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Mokaev Decision · R3 Jul '24
Almabayev23-3
W Johnson Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Perez Submission · R3 Nov '25
W Ochoa Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Kape KO/TKO · R3 Mar '25
W Nicolau Decision · R3 Oct '24