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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
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MK AA Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight CB JM Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight NH ER Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight HA WG Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight SP DB Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight MP AL Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CM RR Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight DS LA Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA AL Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RT CJ Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Ribovics over Haqparast · Lightweight Our fair value$1.39 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.43
Where to back Ribovics best price · region · EV vs fair $1.39
US Bovada $1.43 +3%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.37 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.43 +3%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.40 +1%
Consensus40 picks · conf 62/99
Haqparast 9
31 Ribovics
PTCLJT pick Haqparast
How it endsmethod calls · Ribovics · crowd line
KO/TKO 12 $2.08
Submission 1 $24.97
Decision 4 $6.24
None 1 $24.97
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Haqparast 17-5 VS 15-2 Ribovics
5'10" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 69"
30 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
6.2 strikes landed / min 7.5
44% striking accuracy 48%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
62% striking defence 57%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
20% takedown accuracy 66%
84% takedown defence 61%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market72% vs 70%
Consensus31 of 40 analysts
Sharpest angleRibovics by KO/TKO — 12 of 18 method calls
Recommendation Back Ribovics @ $1.43 · fair $1.39 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE “I'm picking estan to win by knockout in the second round”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Nasrat Haqparast “my subscribers and I went with Esther bandri vvix” $1.38
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nasrat Haqparast “we're picking estabon reiv viix to pull through” $1.40
CZ Czaleo picks Esteban Ribovics “Esteban Ribovics to win by knockout and Cody Brundage Cody Brundage Brundage on the money line to give us a decent plus 1,000”
FI FightFairy picks Esteban Ribovics “I'm leaning towards Esteban Ribovics”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE “Esteban Ribovics who's coming off of one of the best fights of 2024 that was back at EVENT_DETAILS where he had a split decision victory over Daniel zel Huer he's 3-1 so far in the EVENT_DETAILS 14-1 overall only 28 years old and has finished 12 of his 14 wins”
AP Anik & Florian Podcast picks Esteban Ribovics “I'm gonna put it on Esteban Ribovics I'm putting $1,000 on Esteban Ribovics I like this fight perhaps not as strongly I did Anthony fluffy Hernandez but I think this is a good match up for him”
JM Jake Breaksdown MMA picks Nasrat Haqparast VALUE “I think Nasrat Haqparast's got a good chance of beating Esteban Ribovics”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Esteban Ribovics “Esteban Ribovics Cody Brundage numa luta muito estranha de se palpitar”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Nasrat Haqparast “Nasrat Haqparast vence na decisão”
MR MMA ROACH picks Esteban Ribovics “oh I'm going with Esteban Ribovics”
LI liltoaster picks Esteban Ribovics “I'm G take Esteban Ribovics”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Haqparast17-5
L Salkilld KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Ribovics Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Gordon Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Mullarkey KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Quiñones Decision · R3 Sep '23
Ribovics15-2
L Gamrot Submission · R2 Apr '26
W Brener Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Haqparast Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Zellhuber Decision · R3 Sep '24
W McKinney KO/TKO · R1 May '24