MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
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MK AA Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight CB JM Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight NH ER Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight HA WG Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight SP DB Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight MP AL Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CM RR Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight DS LA Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA AL Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RT CJ Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Johnson over Temirov · Flyweight Our fair value$1.60 FanDuel pays above fair $1.79
Where to back Johnson best price · region · EV vs fair $1.60
US FanDuel $1.79 +12%
UK Grosvenor $1.76 +10%
EU Unibet (EU) $1.76 +10%
AU SportsBet $1.78 +11%
Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Temirov 12
42 Johnson
DTMFKA pick Temirov
How it endsmethod calls · Johnson · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $8.54
Decision 12 $2.13
None 1 $25.61
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Temirov 18-2 VS 19-8 Johnson
5'4" height 5'9"
125 lb weight 126 lb
63" reach 70"
29 age 35
Orthodox stance Switch
8.1 strikes landed / min 4.2
41% striking accuracy 47%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
75% striking defence 54%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
0% takedown accuracy 66%
0% takedown defence 55%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market62% vs 56%
Consensus42 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleJohnson by Decision — 12 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Johnson @ $1.79 · fair $1.60 +12% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm picking Charles Johnson by decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I picked The Charles Johnson man” $2.00
MP MMA Prophecy picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I like tarov but I'm just saying watch out for Charles Johnson like he's getting slept on a little bit”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ramazan Temirov VALUE “I'm going to expect tamarov to take it home on a decision as the official pick” $2.10
CZ Czaleo picks Charles Johnson “I'm going with my boy Charles Johnson to get the job done in the second bout of the night”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going to pick Charles Johnson and not only I do like the money line to stick with but I'm also going to pick a decision to try to get the money up there” $1.77
MA MarshhMMA picks Charles Johnson “I think I'm going to go with Charles Johnson to get it done probably by unanimous decision”
EM Evan MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going to go with Charles Johnson as an underdog by decision”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going Charles Johnson at minus10” $1.83
MM MMAPirata picks Charles Johnson “acho que ele vai vencer uma decisão”
WP We Want Picks picks Ramazan Temirov VALUE “I think ramazan can win a a decision”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Charles Johnson “Charles Charles Johnson por pontos”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Temirov18-2
W Johnson Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Vergara KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
Johnson19-8
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25