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Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
AA
Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight
CB
JM
Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight
NH
ER
Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight
HA
WG
Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight
SP
DB
Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight
MP
AL
Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CM
RR
Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DS
LA
Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JA
AL
Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RT
CJ
Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Silva
over Almeida · Catchweight
Our fair value$1.37
BetMGM · US
$1.44
NordicBet · EU
$1.45
Where to back Silva
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.37
US
BetMGM
$1.44
+5%
BetMGM
$1.44
+5%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.44
+5%
EU
NordicBet
$1.45
+6%
NordicBet
$1.45
+6%
AU
Neds
$1.45
+6%
How it endsmethod calls · Silva · crowd line
KO/TKO
7
$4.69
Submission
2
$16.40
Decision
12
$2.73
None
3
$10.93
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Silva 10-2
VS
15-5 Almeida
5'11"
height
5'11"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
70"
reach
71"
29
age
35
Switch
stance
Orthodox
8.3
strikes landed / min
4.1
58%
striking accuracy
62%
9.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.6
59%
striking defence
50%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.7
50%
takedown accuracy
50%
100%
takedown defence
72%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market73% vs 69%
Consensus47 of 57 analysts
Sharpest angleSilva by Decision — 12 of 24 method calls
Recommendation
Back Silva @ $1.45 · fair $1.37
+6% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Danny Silva VALUE
“I think Danny Silva is probably going to get submitted”
TH
TheWeasle picks Danny Silva
“I do think with the advantage of mixing up the Striking and WR wrestling Danny Silva should win by a decision”
MA
MarshhMMA picks Danny Silva
“I'm going to go with Danny Silva just cuz I feel like he's going to have the momentum he just got to the UFC he's motivated”
DR
DRYWALL picks Danny Silva VALUE
“The pick is Danny Silva he'll probably KO I think koos him in the first”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Danny Silva
“I'm going to be picking him to win and I can't trust the chin of Lucas almeer either cuz fely is not a power puncher and he put him away uh let's move on there to the next fight”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Danny Silva VALUE
“and from the featherweight division Lucas Almeida versus Danny Silva”
EM
Evan MMA picks Danny Silva
“I'm going with Danny Silva by decision”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Lucas Almeida VALUE
“I'm taking Lucas almea plus 175 to get the job done”
$2.75
MM
MMAPirata picks Danny Silva
“eu vou de castanheira decisão unânime”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Silva10-2
W
Campbell
Mar '26
L
Vallejos
Aug '25
W
Almeida
Mar '25
W
Culibao
Mar '24
Almeida15-5
L
Aswell
Oct '25
L
Silva
Mar '25
W
Cuamba
Jun '24
L
Fili
Dec '23
L
Sabatini
Jun '23