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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
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MK AA Kape vs AlmabayevMain Card · Flyweight CB JM Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight NH ER Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight HA WG Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight SP DB Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight MP AL Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CM RR Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight DS LA Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA AL Aldrich vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RT CJ Temirov vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Brundage over Marquez · Middleweight Our fair value$1.65 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.89
Where to back Brundage best price · region · EV vs fair $1.65
US Bovada $1.87 +13%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.83 +11%
EU Pinnacle $1.89 +14%
AU Betr (AU) $1.88 +14%
Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Brundage 44
13 Marquez
TSREON pick Brundage
How it endsmethod calls · Brundage · crowd line
KO/TKO 14 $2.36
Decision 5 $6.62
None 1 $33.09
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brundage 11-9-1 VS 9-5 Marquez
6'0" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 186 lb
72" reach 72"
32 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
1.6 strikes landed / min 4.8
54% striking accuracy 45%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 5.1
41% striking defence 50%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
50% takedown accuracy 0%
68% takedown defence 53%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 2.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market60% vs 53%
Consensus44 of 57 analysts
Sharpest angleBrundage by KO/TKO — 14 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Brundage @ $1.89 · fair $1.65 +14% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I'm picking Julian Marquez by decision”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Julian Marquez VALUE “I'm going to go with Julian Marquez because I refuse to pick someone who quits in the middle of the fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I'm picking Cody Brundage at the end of the day” $2.00
CZ Czaleo picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I'm just taking Cody Brundage Cody Brundage Brundage on the money line at plus 102 hopefully Cody Brundage is the dog that gets the win tomorrow night” $2.02
TH TheWeasle picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I do think Cody Brundage should win the fight”
FI FightFairy picks Cody Brundage “I'm actually picking Cody Brundage”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I'm going to go with the guy with the better gas tank plus 100 on Cody negative 120 on Julian going Cody Brundage here” $2.00
LM Leftlane MMA picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I'll be picking brage as a slight Underdog he was almost at like plus one50 earlier in the week uh I guess they just think CU he is a quitter and it is difficult to confidently which is why i' would say do not ever bet any money on a Cody Cody Brundage fight unless it's him to lose by KO but again you can't do that cuz it's Marquez if it was anyone else if it's [ __ ] Caesar El made i' be like yeah you're in trouble bro if it's um if it's someone else like if it's a couple of or Sher or even these like low end like a Bruno for even lower end than that [ __ ] give me Dustin stal to beat this dude um but it's Marquez coming off like four KO losses in a row apparently he's an alcoholic according to people that I've heard from I think Guru mentioned it too um I saw some [ __ ] going around about him and Mar he got chinned in like 10 seconds by zachar that's a terrible look Cody Brundage wall [ __ ] and having a grappling weakness does have some pop and he's got some power and he is a strongish dude I think the difference is like Mark both of them were never good Cody Brundage is just never good in general Marquez was never good but now he's even more washed and now his Chin's not even there so I'll pick brage as the dog my initial lean was Marquez just cuz I'm like I'm never picking Cody brage to win but then I clocked it and I was like yeah Marquez is [ __ ] like he's going to lose”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Julian Marquez VALUE “go g baby let's go enery”
EM Evan MMA picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I'm going to go with Cody Brundage by decision”
MF Marcus Farias Fight picks Cody Brundage “eu vou no brundage”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Brundage VALUE “I am going to be on the Cody brunett side”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brundage11-9-1
W Petroski KO/TKO · R2 May '26
L Johnson Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Rowston KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
L McConico Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Abdul-Malik Decision · R3 Jun '25
Marquez9-5
L Brundage KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Reese KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Barriault KO/TKO · R2 Mar '23
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
W Alvey Submission · R2 Apr '21