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Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
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Araújo vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight
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Tybura vs DinizPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oliveira v Chandler
Lightweight
Our fair value
$1.43
best price $1.40
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Oliveira
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.43
US
FanDuel
$1.40
-2%
FanDuel
$1.40
-2%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.40
-2%
Paddy Power
$1.40
-2%
EU
Coolbet
$1.40
-2%
Coolbet
$1.40
-2%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$1.38
-3%
Ladbrokes AU
$1.38
-3%
How it endsmethod calls · Oliveira · crowd line
KO/TKO
28
$4.53
Submission
55
$2.31
Decision
5
$25.37
None
1
$126.87
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oliveira 36-11
VS
23-10 Chandler
5'10"
height
5'8"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
72"
36
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
4.5
48%
striking accuracy
50%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
53%
striking defence
43%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
44%
takedown accuracy
37%
57%
takedown defence
63%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market70% vs 71%
Consensus70 of 98 analysts
Sharpest angleOliveira by Submission — 55 of 89 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“give me the Denver Nuggets to go to Memphis to the FedEx forum and beat the Memphis Grizzlies”
Greedo Plays picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“give me the Denver Nuggets to go to Memphis to the FedEx forum and beat the Memphis Grizzlies”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I think Charles Oliveira alivea I like Charles Oliveira to get the submission this time”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I think Charles Oliveira alivea I like Charles Oliveira to get the submission this time”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Charles Oliveira
“I really still want to pick Michael Chandler in this one”
B ALL N Sports picks Charles Oliveira
“I really still want to pick Michael Chandler in this one”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“Michael Chandler gets it done you know what I'm going to pick him in the second round this time Michael Chandler KO second round”
B ALL N Sports picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“Michael Chandler gets it done you know what I'm going to pick him in the second round this time Michael Chandler KO second round”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Charles Oliveira
“Charles Oliveira wins this fight ... Charles Oliveira is minus 954 unfortunately”
$1.10
Capper Comparison Picks picks Charles Oliveira
“Charles Oliveira wins this fight ... Charles Oliveira is minus 954 unfortunately”
$1.10
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Oliveira
“my subscribers and I went with Charles Charles Oliveira”
$1.40
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Oliveira
“my subscribers and I went with Charles Charles Oliveira”
$1.40
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I going to see Michael Chandler”
Elijah House MMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I going to see Michael Chandler”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Oliveira
“favorite is Charles Oliveira and I'll hate to see Jon Jones beat old man Stipe Miocic my least favorite fight of the weekend uh I don't know I like everything on the card enough I'm hyped for this James Llontop versus Maurício Ruffy fight I hope Maurício Ruffy absolutely wrecks his [__] shot”
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Oliveira
“favorite is Charles Oliveira and I'll hate to see Jon Jones beat old man Stipe Miocic my least favorite fight of the weekend uh I don't know I like everything on the card enough I'm hyped for this James Llontop versus Maurício Ruffy fight I hope Maurício Ruffy absolutely wrecks his [__] shot”
CO
CombatOddsHQ picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I feel like it's pretty easy to say that Charles Oliveira has more than just a slight upper hand I would say about 70% Charles Oliveira to Michael Chandler 30%”
CombatOddsHQ picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I feel like it's pretty easy to say that Charles Oliveira has more than just a slight upper hand I would say about 70% Charles Oliveira to Michael Chandler 30%”
MM
Max Marks picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm going to say Charles wins”
Max Marks picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm going to say Charles wins”
CO
Covers picks Charles Oliveira
“if it goes a little bit past the first second round I think it favors Charles Oliveira”
Covers picks Charles Oliveira
“if it goes a little bit past the first second round I think it favors Charles Oliveira”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24
Chandler23-10
L
Ruffy
Jun '26
L
Pimblett
Apr '25
L
Oliveira
Nov '24
L
Poirier
Nov '22
W
Ferguson
May '22