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Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight
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McGhee vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Miller vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Onama vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Brahimaj vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Diniz
over Tybura · Heavyweight
Our fair value$2.05
pays above fair
$2.24
Best prices · Diniz
FanDuel · US
$2.00
Paddy Power · UK
$2.00
NordicBet · EU
$2.24
TAB · AU
$2.00
Where to back Diniz
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.05
US
FanDuel
$2.00
-2%
FanDuel
$2.00
-2%
UK
Paddy Power
$2.00
-2%
Paddy Power
$2.00
-2%
EU
NordicBet
$2.24
+9%
NordicBet
$2.24
+9%
AU
TAB
$2.00
-2%
TAB
$2.00
-2%
How it endsmethod calls · Diniz · crowd line
KO/TKO
24
$2.05
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tybura 27-10
VS
9-2 Diniz
6'3"
height
6'4"
256 lb
weight
257 lb
78"
reach
80"
40
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
4.1
45%
striking accuracy
40%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
69%
striking defence
58%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
55%
takedown accuracy
44%
87%
takedown defence
54%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market49% vs 45%
Consensus23 of 42 analysts
Sharpest angleDiniz by KO/TKO — 24 of 24 method calls
Recommendation
Back Diniz @ $2.24 · fair $2.05
+9% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Marcin Tybura
“I've been on Denise from the very get-go”
B ALL N Sports picks Marcin Tybura
“I've been on Denise from the very get-go”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Marcin Tybura
“Marcin Tybura is winning hell yeah”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Marcin Tybura
“Marcin Tybura is winning hell yeah”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with jonata Denise”
$2.26
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with jonata Denise”
$2.26
SM
Script MMA picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
“I like these odds”
Script MMA picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
“I like these odds”
SB
SouthernTea Boxing-MMA & Sports Betting picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“I'mma take Denise with the underdog in this fight right Denise probably wins by KO”
SouthernTea Boxing-MMA & Sports Betting picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“I'mma take Denise with the underdog in this fight right Denise probably wins by KO”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
“this fight looks extremely good Jhonata Diniz knockout upside tabira top time upside”
All-Star DFS picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE
“this fight looks extremely good Jhonata Diniz knockout upside tabira top time upside”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“Marcin Tybura Tybura uh versus Jhonata Diniz Jhonata Diniz so pretty binary matchup here on paper you got Jhonata Diniz who's the striker and you got marcine jur who's the well-rounded fighter aka the grappler”
All-Star DFS picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“Marcin Tybura Tybura uh versus Jhonata Diniz Jhonata Diniz so pretty binary matchup here on paper you got Jhonata Diniz who's the striker and you got marcine jur who's the well-rounded fighter aka the grappler”
GB
Gilbert Burns picks Marcin Tybura
“I'm going with the Marcin Tybura against Jhonata Diniz Jhonata Diniz is supposed to fight Derek Lewis back in Canada but Derk leou pulled out so he a tougher fight because Mar tiur my mix set up with the take downs”
Gilbert Burns picks Marcin Tybura
“I'm going with the Marcin Tybura against Jhonata Diniz Jhonata Diniz is supposed to fight Derek Lewis back in Canada but Derk leou pulled out so he a tougher fight because Mar tiur my mix set up with the take downs”
SM
SnJ MMA picks Marcin Tybura
“I'm picking Jon to Denise here um I feel aura coming off the picture Marcin Tybura despite the fact that he may be an excellent Fighter um is I don't I don't really understand what what accolades he has over joh”
SnJ MMA picks Marcin Tybura
“I'm picking Jon to Denise here um I feel aura coming off the picture Marcin Tybura despite the fact that he may be an excellent Fighter um is I don't I don't really understand what what accolades he has over joh”
SM
SnJ MMA picks Jhonata Diniz
“I've got Jhonata Diniz bro he's got dynamite in his hands I feel a big jont to Denise knockout”
SnJ MMA picks Jhonata Diniz
“I've got Jhonata Diniz bro he's got dynamite in his hands I feel a big jont to Denise knockout”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“I like marcine tyor minus 140 to get the job done”
$1.71
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“I like marcine tyor minus 140 to get the job done”
$1.71
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tybura27-10
L
Fortune
Mar '26
L
Delija
Sep '25
W
Parkin
Mar '25
W
Diniz
Nov '24
L
Spivac
Aug '24
Diniz9-2
L
Pinto
Oct '25
W
Hines
Jun '25
L
Tybura
Nov '24
W
Williams
Aug '24
W
Lane
Apr '24