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Jones vs MiocicMain Card · Heavyweight
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Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
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Elliott vs HafezEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
SM
Jones vs MiocicMain Card · Heavyweight
CO
MC
Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
BN
PC
Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
VA
KS
Araújo vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
MR
JL
Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight
MM
JM
McGhee vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
DJ
Miller vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DO
RR
Onama vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MT
JD
Tybura vs DinizPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RB
MG
Brahimaj vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
OE
BH
Elliott vs HafezEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
EM
VH
Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Craig
over Nickal · Middleweight
Our fair value$8.05
pays above fair
$9.75
Best prices · Craig
FanDuel · US
$9.30
Unibet (UK) · UK
$8.50
Betsson · EU
$9.25
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$9.75
Where to back Craig
best price · region · EV vs fair $8.05
US
FanDuel
$9.30
+16%
FanDuel
$9.30
+16%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$8.50
+6%
Unibet (UK)
$8.50
+6%
EU
BET
Betsson
$9.25
+15%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$9.75
+21%
Ladbrokes AU
$9.75
+21%
How it endsmethod calls · Craig · crowd line
KO/TKO
2
$44.26
Submission
7
$12.65
Decision
1
$88.52
None
1
$88.52
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nickal 8-1
VS
17-10-1 Craig
6'1"
height
6'3"
186 lb
weight
205 lb
76"
reach
76"
30
age
38
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
2.6
strikes landed / min
3.2
63%
striking accuracy
48%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
64%
striking defence
52%
3.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
50%
takedown accuracy
60%
0%
takedown defence
80%
3.6
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market12% vs 10%
Consensus16 of 92 analysts
Sharpest angleCraig by Submission — 7 of 11 method calls
Recommendation
Back Craig @ $9.75 · fair $8.05
+21% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Bo Nickal
“Bo Nickal to go uh Bo Nickal to win by KO or decision”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Bo Nickal
“Bo Nickal to go uh Bo Nickal to win by KO or decision”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Bo Nickal
“I have to side with Bo nickel”
B ALL N Sports picks Bo Nickal
“I have to side with Bo nickel”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Bo Nickal
“I got Bo Nickal winning round give him ... yeah Bo Nickal all day”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Bo Nickal
“I got Bo Nickal winning round give him ... yeah Bo Nickal all day”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bo Nickal
“my subscribers and I obviously went with Bo Nickal”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bo Nickal
“my subscribers and I obviously went with Bo Nickal”
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Bo Nickal VALUE
“Bo Nickal will be Nicholls going to dominate him”
Elijah House MMA picks Bo Nickal VALUE
“Bo Nickal will be Nicholls going to dominate him”
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Paul Craig VALUE
“Paul Craig was getting pieced Bo Nickal tko's him”
Elijah House MMA picks Paul Craig VALUE
“Paul Craig was getting pieced Bo Nickal tko's him”
BI
bilachungi picks Bo Nickal
“I'm going go ahead and say Bo Nickal and uh this guy is pretty classy”
bilachungi picks Bo Nickal
“I'm going go ahead and say Bo Nickal and uh this guy is pretty classy”
LE
LeBatardShow picks Bo Nickal
“he's going to blow the doors off of this guy”
LeBatardShow picks Bo Nickal
“he's going to blow the doors off of this guy”
MM
Max Marks picks Bo Nickal
“Bo Nickal's going to win let's be honest he's a heavy favor he's like Plus or he mean he's like negative 1,000 or whatever for batting odds”
Max Marks picks Bo Nickal
“Bo Nickal's going to win let's be honest he's a heavy favor he's like Plus or he mean he's like negative 1,000 or whatever for batting odds”
CO
CombatOddsHQ picks Bo Nickal
“bottom line Bo Nickal is the clear favorite and it's his fight to lose basically the odds the stats the stylistic matchup but all really points towards having a dominant performance either going to finish Paul Craig with a ground and pound or cruise to a a decision”
$1.10
CombatOddsHQ picks Bo Nickal
“bottom line Bo Nickal is the clear favorite and it's his fight to lose basically the odds the stats the stylistic matchup but all really points towards having a dominant performance either going to finish Paul Craig with a ground and pound or cruise to a a decision”
$1.10
CC
Cody's Calls picks Bo Nickal
“give me Bo Nickal to win by any way that he wants to”
Cody's Calls picks Bo Nickal
“give me Bo Nickal to win by any way that he wants to”
GB
Ghost Picks Benny picks Bo Nickal
“we have Bo nickel Bo Nickal take it on Paul Craig I it can't come soon enough for me right I'm I'm super excited for it it's my baby it's like Christmas come early”
Ghost Picks Benny picks Bo Nickal
“we have Bo nickel Bo Nickal take it on Paul Craig I it can't come soon enough for me right I'm I'm super excited for it it's my baby it's like Christmas come early”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nickal8-1
W
Daukaus
Jun '26
W
Vieira
Nov '25
L
Ridder
May '25
W
Craig
Nov '24
W
Brundage
Apr '24
Craig17-10-1
L
Bukauskas
Sep '25
L
Nickal
Nov '24
L
Borralho
May '24
L
Allen
Nov '23
W
Muniz
Jul '23