MMA Prophecy
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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
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JJ SM Jones vs MiocicMain Card · Heavyweight CO MC Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight BN PC Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight VA KS Araújo vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight MR JL Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight MM JM McGhee vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM DJ Miller vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Lightweight DO RR Onama vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Lightweight MT JD Tybura vs DinizPreliminary Card · Heavyweight RB MG Brahimaj vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight OE BH Elliott vs HafezEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight EM VH Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Hardy over Moura · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$4.28 DraftKings pays above fair $21.00
Where to back Hardy best price · region · EV vs fair $4.28
US DraftKings $21.00 +390%
UK Unibet (UK) $18.00 +320%
EU Unibet (EU) $18.00 +320%
AU Unibet $18.00 +320%
Consensus65 picks · conf 74/99
Moura 32
33 Hardy
HUHMFM pick Moura
How it endsmethod calls · Hardy · crowd line
Submission 2 $34.25
Decision 14 $4.89
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moura 12-1 VS 10-5-1 Hardy
5'6" height 5'4"
126 lb weight 124 lb
66" reach 64"
32 age 30
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.6 strikes landed / min 3.1
49% striking accuracy 45%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
53% striking defence 49%
4.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
35% takedown accuracy 41%
100% takedown defence 55%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market23% vs 5%
Consensus33 of 65 analysts
Sharpest angleHardy by Decision — 14 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Hardy @ $21.00 · fair $4.28 +390% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BS B ALL N Sports picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “Eduarda Moura wins this by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Eduarda Moura “I'm gonna go with Eduarda Moura”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “my subscribers and I went with edu MOA” $2.25
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Eduarda Moura “Eduarda Moura look good more looks scary okay Eduarda Moura is a scary chick dude her intensity is high”
DA Dawg picks Eduarda Moura “prediction eduarda Eduarda Moura potential Eduarda Moura to land more takedowns”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “I really like eduarda Eduarda Mourara this week” $2.15
HF Home of Fight picks Eduarda Moura “I think like I'm really excited that she's gone up in this weight Division I just you know just for the health of athletes I just uh I feel like they can perform so much better and I'm glad that she's taken the step more towards her health uh and I think she's aggressive she's great on the ground and I just think she's going to come for my head as you'd expect her”
CM Coty MMA picks Veronica Hardy “give me Veronica Hardy” $1.71
AD All-Star DFS picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “Eduarda Moura edar Mora I think is one of the best underdogs on the Slate in DFS plus 120 to win” $2.20
AD All-Star DFS picks Veronica Hardy “Veronica Veronica Hardy Veronica Hardy negative line value off a itd line don't see any takedown upside in this matchup so it's it's probably a full fade”
CT Combat Sports Today picks Veronica Hardy VALUE $1.91
SM SnJ MMA picks Veronica Hardy “I've got Veronica Hardy not a barn burner a barn Storer”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moura12-1
L Cong Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Murphy Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Hardy Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Gomes Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Ruiz KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23
Hardy10-5-1
W Walker Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Moura Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Aldrich Decision · R3 May '24
W Horth Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Miller Decision · R3 Mar '23