MMA Prophecy
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UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read O'Malley v Sterling Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus33 picks · conf 56/99
O'Malley 13
20 Sterling
HMUSMW pick O'Malley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
O'Malley 19-3 VS 25-5 Sterling
5'11" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 153 lb
72" reach 71"
31 age 36
Switch stance Orthodox
5.4 strikes landed / min 5.7
55% striking accuracy 44%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
56% striking defence 55%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
33% takedown accuracy 27%
82% takedown defence 63%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DraftKings picks Aljamain Sterling “I'm playing Aljamain Sterling I'm playing him in a parlay”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Aljamain Sterling “I am a confident about Aljamain Sterling winning uh and member for 12 months is Aljamain Sterling all day”
12 12Coffees picks Aljamain Sterling “va a ganar Aljamain Sterling”
OM One On One | MMA picks Aljamain Sterling “Aljamain Sterling Sterling is a better fighter and I think that the longer this fight goes the more we're going to see that”
TH TheMMASpokesman picks Sean O'Malley “Sean O'Malley is definitely expected to lose this fight but that is exactly why he could win this grappling may surprise us all and Sterling might struggle to take him down if he has improved his takedown defense however this is unlikely and despite him being a very creative Striker I just don't see him catching Sterling before Sterling can take his back so that being said my prediction for this fight is Sterling coming out like he did against NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 and submitting Sean in the first round”
KU Kunath picks Aljamain Sterling “I think that Sean O'Malley wins this fight but algerman Aljamain Sterling submits him before the third”
KU Kunath picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “I do think that Sean O'Malley wins this fight”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Aljamain Sterling “I'm going with Aljamain Sterling I I I I'm just I think Aljamain Sterling”
WP We Want Picks picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE “I think Aljamain Sterling wins”
FA FanDuel picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE $1.38
PR Premium-Picks picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE “I have to back Aljamain Sterling here”
DS Dynes Sports picks Aljamain Sterling “so I like Aljamain Sterling here Aljamain Sterling the better Grappler obviously Aljamain Sterling here I think I'd rather just Aljamain Sterling tied into parlays if I'm in a area over Aljamain Sterling that it makes a weaponize so for me it's Aljamain Sterling here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
O'Malley19-3
W Zahabi KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Yadong Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Dvalishvili Submission · R3 Jun '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '24
Sterling25-5
W Zalal Decision · R5 Apr '26
W Ortega Decision · R5 Aug '25
L Evloev Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Kattar Decision · R3 Apr '24
L O'Malley KO/TKO · R2 Aug '23