Choose a fight to analyse
SO
AS
O'Malley vs SterlingMain Card · Bantamweight
ZW
AL
Weili vs LemosMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IG
NM
Garry vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight
MB
DB
Bautista vs BlackshearMain Card · Bantamweight
MV
PM
Vera vs MunhozMain Card · Bantamweight
BT
CW
Tavares vs WeidmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
GR
DT
Rodrigues vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
KH
AH
Holobaugh vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BK
CG
Katona vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
GM
Petroski vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
NS
AL
Silva vs LeeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KS
MM
Silva vs MorozEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AS
O'Malley vs SterlingMain Card · Bantamweight
ZW
AL
Weili vs LemosMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IG
NM
Garry vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight
MB
DB
Bautista vs BlackshearMain Card · Bantamweight
MV
PM
Vera vs MunhozMain Card · Bantamweight
BT
CW
Tavares vs WeidmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
GR
DT
Rodrigues vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
KH
AH
Holobaugh vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BK
CG
Katona vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
GM
Petroski vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
NS
AL
Silva vs LeeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KS
MM
Silva vs MorozEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodrigues v Tiuliulin
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rodrigues 18-6
VS
10-10 Tiuliulin
6'3"
height
6'1"
186 lb
weight
185 lb
75"
reach
77"
34
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.6
56%
striking accuracy
41%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
51%
striking defence
38%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
41%
takedown accuracy
42%
100%
takedown defence
72%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
KU
Kunath picks Denis Tiuliulin VALUE
“he is going to knock out Gregory Rodrigues”
Kunath picks Denis Tiuliulin VALUE
“he is going to knock out Gregory Rodrigues”
WP
We Want Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“if you trust Gregory Rodrigues to come forward get a takedown he should absolutely be in your lineup”
We Want Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“if you trust Gregory Rodrigues to come forward get a takedown he should absolutely be in your lineup”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I like Gregory Rodrigues here I think he gets Ferreira Gregory Rodrigues should have grappled ... I will be taking Gregory Rodrigues”
$1.29
Dynes Sports picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I like Gregory Rodrigues here I think he gets Ferreira Gregory Rodrigues should have grappled ... I will be taking Gregory Rodrigues”
$1.29
HY
Hypecheck picks Gregory Rodrigues
“favorite plays on the entire card and that's with Gregory Rodrigues he has every statistical Advantage whether it's the Striking or wrestling Gregory Rodrigues has him covered ... this is a pretty simple fight ... still think he'll dominate Denis Tiuliulin on Saturday”
Hypecheck picks Gregory Rodrigues
“favorite plays on the entire card and that's with Gregory Rodrigues he has every statistical Advantage whether it's the Striking or wrestling Gregory Rodrigues has him covered ... this is a pretty simple fight ... still think he'll dominate Denis Tiuliulin on Saturday”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“Gregory Rodrigues should definitely win this fight”
$1.28
MMA EXPERTS picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“Gregory Rodrigues should definitely win this fight”
$1.28
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I like it what do you think yeah very special I'm with it yeah all the way Mercer just too much damage like he's got 51 professional fights he's fighting an up-and-comer”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I like it what do you think yeah very special I'm with it yeah all the way Mercer just too much damage like he's got 51 professional fights he's fighting an up-and-comer”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to more so be on the Gregory Rodrigues Rodrigues side here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to more so be on the Gregory Rodrigues Rodrigues side here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to decide with Gregory Rodrigues Rodrigues AKA violent Obama”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going to decide with Gregory Rodrigues Rodrigues AKA violent Obama”
WP
We Want Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“Gregory Rodrigues should win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“Gregory Rodrigues should win this fight”
TF
The ICE Files picks Denis Tiuliulin
“I'll go Denis Tiuliulin all day on that one”
The ICE Files picks Denis Tiuliulin
“I'll go Denis Tiuliulin all day on that one”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I think Rodriguez is going to win this”
Santino DeFranco picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I think Rodriguez is going to win this”
WP
We Want Picks picks Denis Tiuliulin VALUE
“Dennis to lulin to upset Gregory Rodrigues once again but if he gets taken down submitted it is what it is that's what should happen I think Gregory is going to strike and he is going to pay with his life against Dennis”
We Want Picks picks Denis Tiuliulin VALUE
“Dennis to lulin to upset Gregory Rodrigues once again but if he gets taken down submitted it is what it is that's what should happen I think Gregory is going to strike and he is going to pay with his life against Dennis”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodrigues18-6
W
Ferreira
Mar '26
W
Kopylov
Nov '25
W
Hermansson
Jun '25
L
Cannonier
Feb '25
W
Duncan
Jul '24
Tiuliulin10-10
L
Dumas
Aug '24
L
Duncan
Nov '23
L
Rodrigues
Aug '23
L
Jun-yong
Feb '23
W
Pickett
Sep '22