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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Vera v Munhoz Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus26 picks · conf 50/99
Vera 17
9 Munhoz
HM1MUS pick Vera
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vera 23-11-1 VS 20-10 Munhoz
5'8" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 135 lb
70" reach 65"
33 age 39
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 5.4
46% striking accuracy 41%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 6.3
52% striking defence 55%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
69% takedown accuracy 16%
66% takedown defence 82%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM Mmajessic picks Marlon Vera “full money's on Marlon Vera”
12 12Coffees picks Marlon Vera “va a ganar Marlon Vera Vera”
KU Kunath picks Marlon Vera “I think that Marlin fair is just the Slicker guy”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Pedro Munhoz “I'm taking Pedro Munhoz in this uh Cheetos is amazing he's very talented but I don't think he's supposed to win and there's something to that I A lot of times the guy who was supposed to win finds a way to win I think Pedro Munhoz's on the way up”
WP We Want Picks picks Marlon Vera “I do think cheeto's gonna win this fight”
DS Dynes Sports picks Marlon Vera “I think he's going to clip Pedro Munhoz”
HY Hypecheck picks Pedro Munhoz “Pedro Munhoz is extremely live for the upset and I'll be backing him this week”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marlon Vera VALUE “give me the Marlon Vera lock of the night” $1.48
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Marlon Vera VALUE “None”
SH Sherdog.com picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I do like Vera in that one to be honest” $1.50
SH Sherdog.com picks Pedro Munhoz “we have Marlon Vera I'm surprised how close this is to be honest um minus 200 for Vera I I just think like the op Tech he's had in his career over the last few years I thought he would be uh I thought he'd be a bit of a bigger price so maybe you know still a touch overrated but like maybe he's a touch underrated now I don't know it's one of those ones I'm not sure about him anymore where's moonions without Pedro Munhoz kind of falling off a cliff but then he came back last time I don't look good um I do like Vera in that one”
MW Making the Walk picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I think that Cheeto finds a way to start faster ... I actually think that he might get a finish ... I think that he's favored for good reason”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vera23-11-1
L Martínez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Aug '24
L O'Malley Decision · R5 Mar '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Aug '23
Munhoz20-10
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Phillips Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Vera Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Cruz Decision · R3 Dec '21