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UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Weili v Lemos Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Weili 20
5 Lemos
HMTMUS pick Weili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Weili 25-3 VS 15-5-1 Lemos
5'4" height 5'4"
115 lb weight 115 lb
63" reach 65"
36 age 39
Switch stance Southpaw
5.7 strikes landed / min 3.3
53% striking accuracy 35%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
53% striking defence 61%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
46% takedown accuracy 38%
50% takedown defence 59%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DraftKings picks Zhang Weili “I'm gonna go wait there for Zhang Weili and still”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Zhang Weili “I like Zhang Weili I think she's a lot of fun she's feisty she's got the tools on the ground she's got crazy striking so I think uh you know she should be the winner in this fight”
OM One On One | MMA picks Zhang Weili VALUE “I'm taking Zhang Weili”
KU Kunath picks Zhang Weili “I could see Zhang Weili running through Amanda lamosh in the first round”
WP We Want Picks picks Zhang Weili VALUE “I do think he wins”
DS Dynes Sports picks Zhang Weili “I like Zhang Weili here um mean the one time we really saw Zhang Weili um Zhang Weili training uh really improving ... I think she's going to be a Zhang Weili here”
HY Hypecheck picks Amanda Lemos “you got to be stupid not to sprinkle some money on Amanda Lemos to win by sprinkle some money on Amanda Lemos to win by sprinkle some money on Amanda Lemos to win by knockout don't put Zhang Weili in parlay” $3.65
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Zhang Weili VALUE “I'm picking Zhang Weili I'm confident that she's gonna win” $1.31
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Amanda Lemos VALUE “None”
MW Making the Walk picks Zhang Weili VALUE “I think that Zhang Weili is moving to that phase of her career ... and I think that she wins a a decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Zhang Weili VALUE “I think she's going to get two takedowns in this fight I think that's what's gonna happen I think she'll strike with uh Amanda Lemos probably feel some of the power and then go the safety route and take a couple of takedowns”
HB Half The Battle picks Amanda Lemos VALUE “I think uh Zhang Weili is so much better than Angela Hill and uh has you know better strike and better grappling and I just see uh Zhang Weili you know get in the fight to the ground” $3.70
Recent form last five, most recent first
Weili25-3
L Shevchenko Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Suarez Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Xiaonan Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Lemos Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Esparza Submission · R2 Nov '22
Lemos15-5-1
L Robertson Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Suarez Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Lucindo Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Jandiroba Submission · R2 Jul '24
W Dern Decision · R3 Feb '24