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UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Machado Garry v Magny Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Machado Garry 19
3 Magny
H1MUSC pick Machado Garry
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0 VS 31-14 Magny
6'3" height 6'3"
171 lb weight 170 lb
74" reach 80"
28 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 4.0
55% striking accuracy 50%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
52% striking defence 56%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
55% takedown accuracy 34%
69% takedown defence 84%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
12 12Coffees picks Ian Machado Garry “Ian Machado Garry va a sacar la casta y va a ganar”
KU Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry “Ian Machado Garry who not only is going to beat Neil Magny”
WP We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE “I am going to shoot my shot with Ian Machado Garry”
PR Premium-Picks picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE “I think this is a slam dunk Ian Machado Garry win”
DS Dynes Sports picks Ian Machado Garry “give me and Ian Machado Garry here I like Ian Machado Garry I don't really like the and the reason I'm staying on Ian Machado Garry and Ian Machado Garry here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ian Machado Garry “give me Ian Machado Garry for the win and I'm gonna call in Ian Machado Garry knockout” $1.20
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE “None”
SH Sherdog.com picks Ian Machado Garry “I would have Ian Machado Garry as the favorite I do think you will win” $1.22
SH Sherdog.com picks Neil Magny VALUE “Mazar and Neil Magny we spoke about that minus uh 250 for Neil Magny is the favorite there um Neil Magny I like the look of him he's a good fighter” $1.40
MW Making the Walk picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE “I think that he is I think that he is I think that he wins this fight ... he's heavily favored”
WP We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE “he's fighting Neil Magny he's a massive favorite he should win this fight but I don't think he's Gonna Knock Neil Magny out like immediately or early I I think this probably goes late second round if not longer”
HB Half The Battle picks Ian Machado Garry “I'm going with Ian Gary” $1.20
Recent form last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W Muhammad Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Prates Decision · R5 Apr '25
L Rakhmonov Decision · R5 Dec '24
W Page Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Neal Decision · R3 Feb '24
Magny31-14
L Amosov Submission · R1 Dec '25
W Matthews Submission · R3 Sep '25
W Santos KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Prates KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24