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UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bautista v Blackshear Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Bautista 5
8 Blackshear
MUWWP pick Bautista
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bautista 16-3 VS 15-7-1 Blackshear
5'9" height 5'10"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 72"
33 age 31
Switch stance Switch
5.3 strikes landed / min 4.3
47% striking accuracy 47%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
54% striking defence 49%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
33% takedown accuracy 37%
66% takedown defence 68%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
12 12Coffees picks Da'Mon Blackshear “va a ganar Da'Mon Blackshear”
KU Kunath picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “give me Da'Mon Blackshear at 7 100 Great Value”
WP We Want Picks picks Mario Bautista VALUE “I think Da'Mon Blackshear loses”
PR Premium-Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I might stab Da'Mon Blackshear”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I'm picking the mom Da'Mon Blackshear” $2.95
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Mario Bautista VALUE “Mario Bautista knock our submission”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “None”
MW Making the Walk picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I think that he finishes him too ... I actually think that Batista just he's fresher ... I think that he at this point is a better fighter”
HB Half The Battle picks Mario Bautista “I'm just going to slightly lean towards Bautista” $1.45
HB Half The Battle picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I'm picking Black Shear to win” $2.85
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mario Bautista VALUE “I really like Mario Bautista Bautista here just due to the fact that this fight's going to be at bantamweight”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I think to Mom black shirt is going to go after it early”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bautista16-3
W Oliveira Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Mix Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Aldo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Simón Decision · R3 Jan '24
Blackshear15-7-1
L Grant Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Heili Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Gibson Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Stamann Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Jackson KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24