MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
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MD AH Dern vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AH ES Hernandez vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight LG ED Godinez vs DucoteMain Card · Catchweight JB AF Buckley vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight CF MJ Ferreira vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight VB HM Borshchev vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Lightweight KK VD Kowalkiewicz vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Catchweight GU OC Urbina vs CoscePreliminary Card · Catchweight RN IL Nascimento vs LatifiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight CH NF Hooper vs FiorePreliminary Card · Lightweight NS VL Silva vs LeonardoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight TG TS Gorimbo vs SatoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hernandez v Shahbazyan Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Hernandez 6
2 Shahbazyan
HTMCPW pick Hernandez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 15-2 VS 16-5 Shahbazyan
6'0" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 75"
32 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
63% striking accuracy 44%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
46% striking defence 66%
6.6 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
44% takedown accuracy 44%
65% takedown defence 72%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I do think Anthony Hernandez wins this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Anthony Hernandez “I'm going with Anthony Anthony Hernandez to win the fight I think he's gonna get a sub” $1.52
CL Clenbat picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “Anthony Hernandez is my lock of the week”
HB Half The Battle picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I'm gonna go with Anthony Hernandez to defeat Edmund shabazian” $1.44
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Edmen Shahbazyan “give me the big Underdog give me Edmen Shahbazyan shabazion to win this co-main event”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Anthony Hernandez “I'm going with Anthony Hernandez”
PR Premium-Picks picks Anthony Hernandez “I think Anthony Hernandez wins this fight handily”
CL Clenbat picks Anthony Hernandez “I got Hernandez in this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “fluffy is the pick”
CC Combat Critique picks Edmen Shahbazyan “I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 to win by unanimous decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hernandez15-2
L Strickland KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
W Dolidze Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Pereira KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
W Kopylov Submission · R2 Feb '24
Shahbazyan16-5
L Allen Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Muniz KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Petroski Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Budka KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Meerschaert Submission · R2 Aug '24