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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gorimbo v Sato Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Gorimbo 6
2 Sato
MSAPWC pick Gorimbo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gorimbo 14-6 VS 16-7 Sato
6'1" height —
171 lb weight —
77" reach —
35 age 36
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.1 strikes landed / min 2.2
61% striking accuracy 41%
1.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
56% striking defence 44%
4.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
65% takedown accuracy 37%
82% takedown defence 60%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CD Cappers Direct picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “Themba Gorimbo is gonna that's what he plans to do so I see I see Greenwood be in the side now can he do it inside the distance he has some submissions that are there I think for sure he can get them the limbs that he has and the angles that he cuts”
WP We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “I honestly think temba gets it done”
WP We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “the only fantasy score here that I actually like is probably Takashi Takashi Sato he's at 70 and a half and I think he loses this fight I like Themba Gorimbo I like Themba Gorimbo to get the takedowns I think he can win the Striking changes as well Takashi Takashi Sato sort of at the tail end of his career you know just seems to be showing up at this point where temba is in there like a dog fighting working hard trying to work his way into the mix so I think Takashi is going to lose therefore the less on fantasy points”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Themba Gorimbo “I think I'm gonna go themba here”
WP We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “I like Themba Gorimbo to get it done”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Takashi Sato “my prediction with this matchup guys I think Takashi Sato has to win like literally needs to win this matchup”
AM Artem MMA picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “I am going to be picking Themba Gorimbo here probably by submission or decision”
PR Premium-Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “I'm gonna go with Themba Gorimbo”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE “I'm gonna pick fembo Themba Gorimbo to win this fight” $2.00
CL Clenbat picks Takashi Sato “if you had a gun to my head I would pick Sato to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo “so that pick here is going to be Themba Gorimbo in the opening fight tonight”
AM Artem MMA picks Takashi Sato “I do think Sato is going to be able to get it done in this match up here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gorimbo14-6
L Micallef Decision · R3 May '26
L Wells Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Luque Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Price Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Brahimaj Decision · R3 May '24
Sato16-7
L Gorimbo Decision · R3 May '23
L Battle KO/TKO · R1 Aug '22
L Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '22
L Baeza Submission · R2 Nov '20
W Witt KO/TKO · R1 Jun '20