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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hooper v Fiore Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Hooper 8
6 Fiore
HMGSCW pick Hooper
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hooper 16-4-1 VS 6-2 Fiore
6'1" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 154 lb
74" reach 72"
26 age 28
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 2.8
52% striking accuracy 46%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 7.9
36% striking defence 42%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
24% takedown accuracy 45%
55% takedown defence 71%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm picking Chase Hooper Chase Hooper Hooper to win and I'll tell you guys the scales in this fight were gonna mean a lot to me very much dependent upon if I liked Chase Hooper Chase Hooper Hooper's new frame” $2.10
WP We Want Picks picks Nick Fiore VALUE “Nick Fiore probably wins”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chase Hooper VALUE “the pick is Chase Hooper in this one I believe that chase Hooper is going to be better at 55” $2.15
SH Sherdog.com picks Nick Fiore VALUE “I'm going for is Nick Fiore at -135 in his fight with Chase Hooper” $1.74
CL Clenbat picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I don't mind Chase Hooper's chances at all in this fight”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Chase Hooper “I think Hooper's gonna get the win here”
HB Half The Battle picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I think he's going to win this fight so Chase Hooper Chase Hooper Hooper's my pick” $2.10
WP We Want Picks picks Chase Hooper “I think I'm changing it to Chase”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nick Fiore “I'm gonna side with Nick Fiore because I've kinda lost faith in Chase Hooper”
AM Artem MMA picks Nick Fiore VALUE “I'm still on Nick Fiore here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “my pick will be Nick Fiore” $1.77
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Nick Fiore VALUE “I'm going Nick Fiore 175” $2.75
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hooper16-4-1
L Gibson Jr. KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Guida Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Borshchev Submission · R2 May '24
Fiore6-2
L Hooper Decision · R3 May '23
L Rębecki Decision · R3 Jan '23