MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Choose a fight to analyse
MD AH Dern vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AH ES Hernandez vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight LG ED Godinez vs DucoteMain Card · Catchweight JB AF Buckley vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight CF MJ Ferreira vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight VB HM Borshchev vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Lightweight KK VD Kowalkiewicz vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Catchweight GU OC Urbina vs CoscePreliminary Card · Catchweight RN IL Nascimento vs LatifiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight CH NF Hooper vs FiorePreliminary Card · Lightweight NS VL Silva vs LeonardoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight TG TS Gorimbo vs SatoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Buckley v Fialho Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Buckley 8
1 Fialho
HTMUSA pick Buckley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buckley 21-7 VS 16-8 Fialho
5'10" height —
171 lb weight —
76" reach —
32 age 32
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 3.3
36% striking accuracy 41%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 6.3
57% striking defence 45%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
46% takedown accuracy 100%
69% takedown defence 66%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “Joaquin Buckley should get this done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm going the side of Joaquin Buckley I think he gets this thing” $1.48
SH Sherdog.com picks André Fialho VALUE “I had André Fialho written in as one of my bets and I feel like André Fialho is going to win it”
SH Sherdog.com picks Joaquin Buckley “plus 120 for uh Joaquin Buckley I just feel like André Fialho is going to be” $2.20
SD Santino DeFranco picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm gonna ride one more time with my boy fiyahu”
HB Half The Battle picks Joaquin Buckley “pure pick Joaquin Buckley” $1.44
WP We Want Picks picks Joaquin Buckley “probably Orion but super sketchy fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joaquin Buckley “my prediction I'm gonna side with Joaquin Buckley to to use some wrestling”
AM Artem MMA picks Joaquin Buckley “I think that you are queen Joaquin Buckley does win this fight”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm sliding with Joaquin Buckley here over Andre fialjo”
PR Premium-Picks picks Joaquin Buckley “I think I'll take Joaquin Buckley”
WP We Want Picks picks Joaquin Buckley “Buckley's gonna be the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buckley21-7
L Brady Decision · R3 May '26
L Usman Decision · R5 Jun '25
W Covington KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Thompson KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '24
Fialho16-8
L Means KO/TKO · R3 Sep '23
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 May '23
L Salikhov KO/TKO · R3 Nov '22
L Matthews KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
W VanCamp KO/TKO · R1 May '22