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AH
Dern vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Hernandez vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight
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Godinez vs DucoteMain Card · Catchweight
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Buckley vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Ferreira vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
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Borshchev vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Kowalkiewicz vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Urbina vs CoscePreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Nascimento vs LatifiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CH
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Hooper vs FiorePreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Silva vs LeonardoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Gorimbo vs SatoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AH
Dern vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
ES
Hernandez vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight
LG
ED
Godinez vs DucoteMain Card · Catchweight
JB
AF
Buckley vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
CF
MJ
Ferreira vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight
VB
HM
Borshchev vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Lightweight
KK
VD
Kowalkiewicz vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Catchweight
GU
OC
Urbina vs CoscePreliminary Card · Catchweight
RN
IL
Nascimento vs LatifiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CH
NF
Hooper vs FiorePreliminary Card · Lightweight
NS
VL
Silva vs LeonardoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
TG
TS
Gorimbo vs SatoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nascimento v Latifi
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nascimento 11-3
VS
17-9 Latifi
—
height
5'10"
—
weight
249 lb
—
reach
74"
33
age
43
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
2.0
47%
striking accuracy
45%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
44%
striking defence
56%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
37%
takedown accuracy
35%
60%
takedown defence
100%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ilir Latifi
“I'm sticking with my latifi pick even though he looks like complete I think he might win a close decision”
$2.60
WP
We Want Picks picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I do think Rodrigo nasamento is going to win this fight”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I probably would go for Rodrigo Nascimento”
CL
Clenbat picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“Rodrigo nacimento to take a win over Ilir Latifi”
WP
We Want Picks picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I do have a one unit bet on Rodrigo nasamento”
$1.65
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“my prediction I'm gonna side with Rodrigo nacimento”
AM
Artem MMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I'm picking Rodrigo Nascimento by a sloppy boring terrible not technical heavyweight decision”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I'm gonna go with Rodrigo Nascimento to get the win here um maybe a submission or like a ground impound”
WP
We Want Picks picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I think Rodrigo Nascimento should get this done I do have to bet”
$1.65
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“give me an awesome Mentor I'll take him to win by like a greasy greasy decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nascimento11-3
L
Romanov
Nov '24
L
Lewis
May '24
W
Mayes
Nov '23
W
Latifi
May '23
W
Boser
Sep '22
Latifi17-9
L
Nascimento
May '23
W
Oleinik
Oct '22
W
Boser
Jun '21
L
Lewis
Feb '20
L
Oezdemir
Aug '19