MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Choose a fight to analyse
MD AH Dern vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AH ES Hernandez vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight LG ED Godinez vs DucoteMain Card · Catchweight JB AF Buckley vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight CF MJ Ferreira vs JohnsonMain Card · Lightweight VB HM Borshchev vs MaheshatePreliminary Card · Lightweight KK VD Kowalkiewicz vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Catchweight GU OC Urbina vs CoscePreliminary Card · Catchweight RN IL Nascimento vs LatifiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight CH NF Hooper vs FiorePreliminary Card · Lightweight NS VL Silva vs LeonardoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight TG TS Gorimbo vs SatoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Kowalkiewicz v Demopoulos Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Kowalkiewicz 5
6 Demopoulos
TMGSS pick Kowalkiewicz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kowalkiewicz 16-10 VS 11-6 Demopoulos
5'3" height 5'2"
116 lb weight 126 lb
64" reach 59"
40 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.9
43% striking accuracy 41%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
57% striking defence 41%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
22% takedown accuracy 11%
74% takedown defence 27%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CC Combat Critique picks Vanessa Demopoulos VALUE $1.25
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “I'm gonna go Cabo cabbage to win this thing she is the favorite and you know the betting side is not super valuable” $1.81
WP We Want Picks picks Vanessa Demopoulos VALUE “I think Vanessa Demopoulos wins this fight”
SH Sherdog.com picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz VALUE “I'll go with Karolina Kowalkiewicz”
CL Clenbat picks Vanessa Demopoulos VALUE “I don't mind demopolis's chances in this fight”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “as long as she just doesn't go full Cody Brundage and start jumping and pulling guard and panic I you know I think she should win it”
WP We Want Picks picks Vanessa Demopoulos VALUE “I think Vanessa Demopoulos is going to win this fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Vanessa Demopoulos “I'm gonna side with Vanessa Demopoulos”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “I'm gonna go with Carolina over Vanessa Demopoulos”
PR Premium-Picks picks Vanessa Demopoulos VALUE “I like Vanessa here especially at the dog odds”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “I feel like Karolina Kowalkiewicz is gonna pull this one out” $1.69
GP Greedo Plays picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “give me Rodrigo nacimento to win the fight by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kowalkiewicz16-10
L Polastri KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Lucindo Decision · R3 May '24
W Belbiţă Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Demopoulos Decision · R3 May '23
Demopoulos11-6
L Horth Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Alencar Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Amorim Submission · R1 Sep '24
W Ducote Decision · R3 May '24
W Murata Decision · R3 Oct '23