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UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Evloev v Lopes Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Evloev 7
1 Lopes
MUDFCD pick Evloev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Evloev 19-0 VS 27-8 Lopes
5'7" height 5'11"
145 lb weight 146 lb
72" reach 72"
32 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 3.5
48% striking accuracy 58%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
61% striking defence 56%
4.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
46% takedown accuracy 39%
71% takedown defence 52%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “I'm going Movsar Evloev man I think Mozart gets this done”
DS Dynes Sports picks Movsar Evloev “heavily back Movsar Evloev I think he's the Movsar Evloev in the spot put money on Movsar Evloev by finish”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “I officially have picked Esteban” $2.55
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Diego Lopes VALUE “I honestly am with you here most part of my decision that's what we got for that one there's no value in the money line but yeah we could probably sneak it off all three rounds though that's what we got for that fight now let's talk about the co-main event yes sir five round four main event five rounds that's nice... we both got Bill Gilbert Burns money line let's go for the main event this is man this is insane bro... we both got NOT_IN_ROSTER_34 uh good eyes on that by the way minus 115 money line that's nice” $1.53
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “give me Movsar Evloev F was going to beat Bryce and he probably dominates this opponent even more”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “Movsar Movsar Evloev got a new opponent Diego Lopes who listen he doesn't have a chance to beat Movsar Movsar Evloev”
HY Hypecheck picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “Movsar Evloev going up against Diego”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Diego Lopes “we don't have a line for it yet but I expect everyone to be an even bigger favorite than he was against Mitchell by far”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “evil web 9400 he has takedown upside control upside and a lot of it it's going to rack up”
CC Combat Critique picks Movsar Evloev “if I have to pick a winner I'll go with a Blue Wave I think he goes on to become 17 and off”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Evloev19-0
W Murphy Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Sterling Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Allen Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Lopes Decision · R3 May '23
W Ige Decision · R3 Jun '22
Lopes27-8
W Garcia KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Volkanovski Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
L Volkanovski Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Ortega Decision · R3 Sep '24