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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jourdain v Gracie Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
Jourdain 10
9 Gracie
1SACFW pick Jourdain
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jourdain 17-8-1 VS 5-2 Gracie
5'9" height 5'9"
135 lb weight 144 lb
69" reach 70"
30 age 37
Switch stance Southpaw
2.8 strikes landed / min 3.7
55% striking accuracy 44%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 6.8
58% striking defence 53%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
57% takedown accuracy 25%
55% takedown defence 0%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kron Gracie VALUE “I'm gonna take Kron Gracie man”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kron Gracie VALUE “I'm seeing Chrome Gracie winning my submission” $2.45
MD MMA DOST picks Kron Gracie VALUE “I feel like crown Kron Gracie won this fight, he felt very confident throughout the fight week”
MW Making the Walk picks Charles Jourdain VALUE “Congress is just going to eat him up on the canvas and he's going to win by submission”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Charles Jourdain “I'm picking Charles Jourdain”
WP We Want Picks picks Charles Jourdain VALUE “lock of the week for UFC Vegas 72 is going to be Cody Durden”
TT TFB's Talks picks Charles Jourdain VALUE “I'm leaning towards Charles Jourdain NOT_IN_ROSTER_1”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kron Gracie VALUE “Underdog Kron Gracie ballsy pick yes but I think he's pulling this [ __ ] off man I think he's in a [ __ ] get Charles Jourdain in a bad spot”
KU Kunath picks Kron Gracie VALUE “I'm not high on Charles Jourdain at all and it is a big mystery with chrome but the thing is is I don't think he is gonna he's gonna come back just to take a beating”
HY Hypecheck picks Kron Gracie VALUE “Kron Gracie is the got”
WP We Want Picks picks Charles Jourdain VALUE “I got 20 bucks on Phil Hall's man 20 bucks for America”
WP We Want Picks picks Kron Gracie “Esteban will be the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jourdain17-8-1
W Phillips Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Grant Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Henry Submission · R2 Nov '24
L Silva KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
L Woodson Decision · R3 Jan '24
Gracie5-2
L Mitchell KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Jourdain Decision · R3 May '23
L Swanson Decision · R3 Oct '19
W Caceres Submission · R1 Feb '19