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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Porter v Smith
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Porter 14-9
VS
5-2 Smith
6'0"
height
5'11"
256 lb
weight
262 lb
75"
reach
72"
41
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.5
strikes landed / min
6.5
50%
striking accuracy
48%
6.3
strikes absorbed / min
11.5
51%
striking defence
32%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
26%
takedown accuracy
0%
66%
takedown defence
100%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Parker Porter
“my pick is Parker Porter”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Parker Porter
“my pick is Parker Porter”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“I think Braxton Braxton Smith Braxton Smith's gonna sleep him”
$2.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“I think Braxton Braxton Smith Braxton Smith's gonna sleep him”
$2.45
DS
Dynes Sports picks Parker Porter
“this is Parker Porter's fight to win so I like Parker Porter uh it's a New fight for Parker Porter Parker Porter's on his game I think he wins here”
Dynes Sports picks Parker Porter
“this is Parker Porter's fight to win so I like Parker Porter uh it's a New fight for Parker Porter Parker Porter's on his game I think he wins here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I like Parker Porter to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I like Parker Porter to win this fight”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“I like Braxton Smith who's the underdog here I'm not gonna lie to you man like I love it all day and I said oh to open the card oh no it's like one yeah well it was one of the uh it's like the second or third yeah yeah yeah well but man I like Braxton Smith more and more once Bart told me to check into that fight I'm like man this might be a nice one Bryce Smith Underdog as well give me that [__] one plus 38 money line we both got Braxton Smith for that fight yes let's get it”
$1.38
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“I like Braxton Smith who's the underdog here I'm not gonna lie to you man like I love it all day and I said oh to open the card oh no it's like one yeah well it was one of the uh it's like the second or third yeah yeah yeah well but man I like Braxton Smith more and more once Bart told me to check into that fight I'm like man this might be a nice one Bryce Smith Underdog as well give me that [__] one plus 38 money line we both got Braxton Smith for that fight yes let's get it”
$1.38
WP
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I think that frankly Parker Porter is either going to get knocked out which I don't think so right I think he wins this fight and he's my good friend so I'm hoping he wins this fight or he's going to take Braxton Smith down and Braxton Smith's not surviving Braxton Smith Smith his opponent just big one punch power and that's it without that he's got nothing else to offer he's not an MMA fighter he's just a big powerful guy with a big right hand so I think Parker Porter takes him to the ground finishes him there so I like less than five fight minutes”
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I think that frankly Parker Porter is either going to get knocked out which I don't think so right I think he wins this fight and he's my good friend so I'm hoping he wins this fight or he's going to take Braxton Smith down and Braxton Smith's not surviving Braxton Smith Smith his opponent just big one punch power and that's it without that he's got nothing else to offer he's not an MMA fighter he's just a big powerful guy with a big right hand so I think Parker Porter takes him to the ground finishes him there so I like less than five fight minutes”
HB
Half The Battle picks Parker Porter
“I think that Parker Porter is the more experienced guy the more Savvy guy i”
$1.62
Half The Battle picks Parker Porter
“I think that Parker Porter is the more experienced guy the more Savvy guy i”
$1.62
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“give me the newcomer Braxton Braxton Smith Braxton Smith to a completely dust Park”
$2.60
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“give me the newcomer Braxton Braxton Smith Braxton Smith to a completely dust Park”
$2.60
KU
Kunath picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“the pick for me in this fight is going to be Braxton Smith”
Kunath picks Braxton Smith VALUE
“the pick for me in this fight is going to be Braxton Smith”
WP
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I'm going Parker Porter”
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I'm going Parker Porter”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Parker Porter
“I personally think Parker Porter Porter could get knocked out I'm actually picking him to get knocked out”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Parker Porter
“I personally think Parker Porter Porter could get knocked out I'm actually picking him to get knocked out”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I think Parker Porter is is easily the side here and at pretty close odds like I'm gonna launch Parker”
Santino DeFranco picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I think Parker Porter is is easily the side here and at pretty close odds like I'm gonna launch Parker”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Porter14-9
L
Tafa
Aug '23
W
Smith
May '23
L
Tafa
Feb '23
L
Almeida
May '22
W
Baudot
Feb '22
Smith5-2
L
Porter
May '23