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Frevola vs DoberPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Frevola v Dober
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Frevola 11-5-1
VS
28-15 Dober
5'9"
height
5'8"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
71"
reach
70"
36
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.6
strikes landed / min
2.9
43%
striking accuracy
52%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
68%
striking defence
47%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
70%
takedown accuracy
51%
72%
takedown defence
66%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm riding with the side of Drew Dober actually he's gonna stop Matt Frevola”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm riding with the side of Drew Dober actually he's gonna stop Matt Frevola”
$1.45
DS
Dynes Sports picks Drew Dober
“I got Drew Dober Drew Dober that is going to be Drew Dober's style here at all but I do see Drew Dober is the better Striker... I agree with you I think Drew Dober”
Dynes Sports picks Drew Dober
“I got Drew Dober Drew Dober that is going to be Drew Dober's style here at all but I do see Drew Dober is the better Striker... I agree with you I think Drew Dober”
WP
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“I actually think Matt vavola can win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“I actually think Matt vavola can win this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“lock of the week for UFC 288 is none other than right Steamroller Matt Frevola Matt Frevola Frevola”
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“lock of the week for UFC 288 is none other than right Steamroller Matt Frevola Matt Frevola Frevola”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Drew Dober VALUE
“give me Drew Dober dope is going to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Drew Dober VALUE
“give me Drew Dober dope is going to win this match up”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“I'm gonna side with who I believe is more aggressive and that's going to be Daniel Santos”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“I'm gonna side with who I believe is more aggressive and that's going to be Daniel Santos”
WP
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“I think Daniel Santos wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola VALUE
“I think Daniel Santos wins this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matt Frevola
“I personally think that he is going to try to stand and bang with your Dober and I think he does get knocked out eventually”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matt Frevola
“I personally think that he is going to try to stand and bang with your Dober and I think he does get knocked out eventually”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I am more so on the true Dover side at 9200”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I am more so on the true Dover side at 9200”
TF
The ICE Files picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going all in on the Doberman”
The ICE Files picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going all in on the Doberman”
WP
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola
“I am Daniel willikant Santos all the way in this matchup”
We Want Picks picks Matt Frevola
“I am Daniel willikant Santos all the way in this matchup”
SY
Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going with Drew Dober”
Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Drew Dober VALUE
“I'm going with Drew Dober”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Frevola11-5-1
L
Nelson
Oct '25
L
Ziam
Sep '24
L
Denis
Nov '23
W
Dober
May '23
W
Azaitar
Nov '22
Dober28-15
W
Johnson
Mar '26
W
Prepolec
Oct '25
L
Torres
Mar '25
L
Silva
Jul '24
L
Moicano
Feb '24