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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Aliskerov v Hawes Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Aliskerov 5
4 Hawes
UPWND pick Aliskerov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Aliskerov 17-2 VS 12-6 Hawes
6'0" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 78"
33 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
7.0 strikes landed / min 5.3
60% striking accuracy 59%
7.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
36% striking defence 55%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
33% takedown accuracy 34%
0% takedown defence 90%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Phil Hawes VALUE “I'm going with Phil Hawes I think he's going to withstand the wrestling and potentially find a Knockout in this fight”
DS Dynes Sports picks Ikram Aliskerov “I'm leaning Ikram Aliskerov”
WP We Want Picks picks Phil Hawes VALUE “I threw 20 bucks on Phil Halls to win”
NN Noah Nwadei picks Ikram Aliskerov “I think that all of these leading up to Ikram Aliskerov ... I think Ikram Aliskerov is gonna win ... yeah you guys have my pick now”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ikram Aliskerov VALUE “give me the Russian Ikram Aliskerov Henry Cejudoaravan to get Phil Hawes horse to the mat from there just kind of dominate the fight”
KU Kunath picks Phil Hawes VALUE “I'm on Phil Hawes I think” $2.90
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Phil Hawes VALUE “I think at 7100 I think it's a solid solid look for Phil Hawes Hawes”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ikram Aliskerov “I think at 7100 I think it's a solid solid look for Phil Hawes Hawes”
PR Premium-Picks picks Ikram Aliskerov VALUE “ikram inside the distance more I would say more likely leading to a submission second round”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Ikram Aliskerov “I am going to be taking uh ikram Less Ikram Aliskerov in his UFC debut” $1.46
Recent form last five, most recent first
Aliskerov17-2
W Ferreira Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Jun-yong Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Muniz KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Whittaker KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Alves KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
Hawes12-6
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R1 Jan '24
L Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 May '23
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R1 Oct '22
W Winn KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
L Curtis KO/TKO · R1 Nov '21