MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Choose a fight to analyse
AS HC Sterling vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight BM GB Muhammad vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight YX JA Xiaonan vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Strawweight ME DL Evloev vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight CJ KG Jourdain vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight MF DD Frevola vs DoberPreliminary Card · Lightweight KN DC Nzechukwu vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KW RB Williams vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Welterweight VJ MR Jandiroba vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PP BS Porter vs SmithEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight IA PH Aliskerov vs HawesEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight CR JH Ribeiro vs HolmesEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ribeiro v Holmes Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Ribeiro 11
2 Holmes
HTMSCP pick Ribeiro
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ribeiro 11-5 VS 8-4 Holmes
6'1" height 6'4"
185 lb weight 189 lb
77" reach 80"
33 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.6 strikes landed / min 2.9
51% striking accuracy 53%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
30% striking defence 54%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
50% takedown accuracy 40%
66% takedown defence 50%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Claudio Ribeiro “I'm gonna go hebario to win by knockout” $1.59
DS Dynes Sports picks Claudio Ribeiro “I think Claudio Ribeiro is going to be the”
WP We Want Picks picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “Claudio Ribeiro should absolutely win this fight”
HB Half The Battle picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “I'm gonna go mosar of Loya a unanimous decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “we're both on the Claudia Roberto side”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Joseph Holmes VALUE “Eileen Claudio Ribeiro but Joseph Holmes Holmes 7300 I think is going to be super low owned and he has a path”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “I think I like Claudio Ribeiro to win this just because I'm so low and he didn't look bad against uh Abdul razak al-hassan until he got caught”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “give me The Knockout artist I'm going hiberio by kale in this one” $1.57
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “I'm going Claudia Roberto lock of the week” $2.44
WP We Want Picks picks Claudio Ribeiro “give me Claudio Ribeiro in this match”
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “I'm going with Claudio Ribeiro”
PR Premium-Picks picks Claudio Ribeiro VALUE “I'm choosing Claudio Claudio Ribeiro to get in the pocket and knock out Joseph Holmes”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ribeiro11-5
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
W Holmes KO/TKO · R2 May '23
L Alhassan KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23
Holmes8-4
L Ribeiro KO/TKO · R2 May '23
L Park Submission · R2 Oct '22
W Amedovski Submission · R1 May '22
L Pickett Decision · R3 Jan '22