Choose a fight to analyse
SY
RS
Yadong vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
MO
Borralho vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
RV
CB
Vieira vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
FP
JE
Padilla vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
ML
WC
Lima vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
TW
JQ
Waters vs QuinlanMain Card · Welterweight
MB
JC
Buday vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
CJ
Durden vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
IA
SE
Alekseeva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JN
McGhee vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JH
HC
Horth vs CowanPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RS
Yadong vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
MO
CB
Vieira vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
FP
JE
Padilla vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
ML
WC
Lima vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
TW
JQ
Waters vs QuinlanMain Card · Welterweight
MB
JC
Buday vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
CJ
Durden vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
IA
SE
Alekseeva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JN
McGhee vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JH
HC
Horth vs CowanPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Yadong v Simón
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Yadong 22-9-1
VS
20-6 Simón
5'8"
height
—
136 lb
weight
—
67"
reach
—
28
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.0
43%
striking accuracy
43%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
55%
striking defence
61%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
5.2
40%
takedown accuracy
44%
72%
takedown defence
75%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CD
Cappers Direct picks Ricky Simón
“I do favor Ricky Simón to win this fight I think Ricky Simón wins”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Song Yadong VALUE
“I've been leaning towards Song Yadong the whole way”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I am saying that Ricky Simón Simón uh wins a unanimous decision here”
$1.83
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Song Yadong VALUE
“I'm going with Song Yadong I think just um if you stack up their skill sets I think Song Yadong is just the stronger fighter uh more generally”
$1.95
WP
We Want Picks picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I like Ricky Simón more than 161.5 significant strikes the reality is he's Landing that in three round fights this is a five round fight I think he's gonna throw a ton shoot a bunch of takedowns throw a ton shoot a bunch of takedowns the fact that Song Yadong can defend takedowns only helps Ricky's significant strike line”
HB
Half The Battle picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I will go with Ricky Simón Ricky Simón Simón just because it is a five round fight and in five round fights I want to pick the guy who's more well equipped to go five hard rounds”
$1.87
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“I'm more so on the Ricky Simón side just because he has so much wrestling upside here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Song Yadong
“my prediction for this main event is going to be song It's a good good Main Event though I do prefer the 15 minute fight compared to the main event but it's a big opportunity for both guys but yeah let me know down below drop all your money say comments”
WI
WEIGHING IN picks Song Yadong
“on the feet I give it all to you Dong Song the speed and the power it's gonna go to him”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Ricky Simón
“I'm on Ricky and Martin Buday”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Yadong22-9-1
W
Figueiredo
May '26
L
O'Malley
Jan '26
W
Cejudo
Feb '25
L
Yan
Mar '24
W
Gutiérrez
Dec '23
Simón20-6
L
Barcelos
Nov '25
W
Smotherman
Jun '25
W
Basharat
Feb '25
L
Oliveira
Jun '24
L
Bautista
Jan '24