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UFC on ESPN: Song vs. Simón
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Yadong v Simón Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Yadong 4
10 Simón
1UWT pick Yadong
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Yadong 22-9-1 VS 20-6 Simón
5'8" height
136 lb weight
67" reach
28 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.0
43% striking accuracy 43%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
55% striking defence 61%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 5.2
40% takedown accuracy 44%
72% takedown defence 75%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CD Cappers Direct picks Ricky Simón “I do favor Ricky Simón to win this fight I think Ricky Simón wins”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Song Yadong VALUE “I've been leaning towards Song Yadong the whole way”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ricky Simón “the pick is Ricky Simón Simón to win a decision” $1.83
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ricky Simón “my official pick is Ricky Simón 49 46 4847” $1.85
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Ricky Simón VALUE “I am saying that Ricky Simón Simón uh wins a unanimous decision here” $1.83
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Song Yadong VALUE “I'm going with Song Yadong I think just um if you stack up their skill sets I think Song Yadong is just the stronger fighter uh more generally” $1.95
WP We Want Picks picks Ricky Simón VALUE “I like Ricky Simón more than 161.5 significant strikes the reality is he's Landing that in three round fights this is a five round fight I think he's gonna throw a ton shoot a bunch of takedowns throw a ton shoot a bunch of takedowns the fact that Song Yadong can defend takedowns only helps Ricky's significant strike line”
HB Half The Battle picks Ricky Simón VALUE “I will go with Ricky Simón Ricky Simón Simón just because it is a five round fight and in five round fights I want to pick the guy who's more well equipped to go five hard rounds” $1.87
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ricky Simón VALUE “I'm more so on the Ricky Simón side just because he has so much wrestling upside here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Song Yadong “my prediction for this main event is going to be song It's a good good Main Event though I do prefer the 15 minute fight compared to the main event but it's a big opportunity for both guys but yeah let me know down below drop all your money say comments”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Song Yadong “on the feet I give it all to you Dong Song the speed and the power it's gonna go to him”
PR Premium-Picks picks Ricky Simón “I'm on Ricky and Martin Buday”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Yadong22-9-1
W Figueiredo Submission · R2 May '26
L O'Malley Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Yan Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Gutiérrez Decision · R5 Dec '23
Simón20-6
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Smotherman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Basharat KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Bautista Decision · R3 Jan '24