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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rogério de Lima v Cortes-Acosta
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rogério de Lima 22-10-1
VS
17-2 Cortes-Acosta
—
height
6'4"
—
weight
262 lb
—
reach
78"
41
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
5.9
57%
striking accuracy
65%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
51%
striking defence
52%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
2.3
45%
takedown accuracy
69%
59%
takedown defence
63%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'm picking salsa boy Waldo Cortes-Acosta Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Acosta”
$2.48
MMA EXPERTS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'm picking salsa boy Waldo Cortes-Acosta Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortes-Acosta”
$2.48
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I'm picking salsa boy to win I think that Waldo Cortes-Acosta gets a unanimous decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I'm picking salsa boy to win I think that Waldo Cortes-Acosta gets a unanimous decision”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“the next spell I'm going for is Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win and he's at plus 190”
$2.90
Sherdog.com picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“the next spell I'm going for is Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win and he's at plus 190”
$2.90
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I'm going with Waldo Cortez I think he's you know on a hot streak uh eight fight win streak”
101MMA Clinic picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I'm going with Waldo Cortez I think he's you know on a hot streak uh eight fight win streak”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'm going opposite on this one even though it doesn't count in the final score for the next week um I just think like um Marcus uh Lima look awesome in his last fight like he finished Andrea robski like really really fast you know he has all the experience he has that power you know uh in his hands in in the kicks uh Waldo is like more relying on his boxing and and the takedowns even though Marcos was like in some moments easy to take down I think he will be good enough not to get taken down I think he will press uh Acosta forward with the powerful shots powerful kicks and I think he's gonna get a finish”
101MMA Clinic picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'm going opposite on this one even though it doesn't count in the final score for the next week um I just think like um Marcus uh Lima look awesome in his last fight like he finished Andrea robski like really really fast you know he has all the experience he has that power you know uh in his hands in in the kicks uh Waldo is like more relying on his boxing and and the takedowns even though Marcos was like in some moments easy to take down I think he will be good enough not to get taken down I think he will press uh Acosta forward with the powerful shots powerful kicks and I think he's gonna get a finish”
WP
We Want Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I think Marcos Rogério de Lima is just gonna lean on Moldova hold him against the cage take the athleticism away slow them down and it's probably gonna be a boring heavyweight fight at least for more than eight and a half minutes”
We Want Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I think Marcos Rogério de Lima is just gonna lean on Moldova hold him against the cage take the athleticism away slow them down and it's probably gonna be a boring heavyweight fight at least for more than eight and a half minutes”
HB
Half The Battle picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'll lean with the dog but I'm not really in a rush normally if like I lean with a dog I just have to bet him by default but it's just like if you ask me who I would bet on if a gun was put to my head probably the dog”
$2.57
Half The Battle picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'll lean with the dog but I'm not really in a rush normally if like I lean with a dog I just have to bet him by default but it's just like if you ask me who I would bet on if a gun was put to my head probably the dog”
$2.57
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I think the Lima gets it done so I'll be on the de Lima side in this fight”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE
“I think the Lima gets it done so I'll be on the de Lima side in this fight”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marcos Rogério de Lima
“my prediction is going to be Lima to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marcos Rogério de Lima
“my prediction is going to be Lima to win this match up”
KU
Kunath picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“if I were forced to make a bet I'd probably roll the dice on the dog”
Kunath picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“if I were forced to make a bet I'd probably roll the dice on the dog”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I gotta go with miracles rogerio”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I gotta go with miracles rogerio”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'm picking Waldo Cortes-Acosta to get the win”
$2.35
MMA EXPERTS picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE
“I'm picking Waldo Cortes-Acosta to get the win”
$2.35
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rogério de Lima22-10-1
W
Tafa
Feb '24
L
Lewis
Jul '23
W
Cortes-Acosta
Apr '23
W
Arlovski
Oct '22
L
Ivanov
May '22
Cortes-Acosta17-2
L
Volkov
May '26
W
Lewis
Jan '26
W
Gaziev
Nov '25
W
Delija
Nov '25
L
Pavlovich
Aug '25