Choose a fight to analyse
SY
RS
Yadong vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
MO
Borralho vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
RV
CB
Vieira vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
FP
JE
Padilla vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
ML
WC
Lima vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
TW
JQ
Waters vs QuinlanMain Card · Welterweight
MB
JC
Buday vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
CJ
Durden vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
IA
SE
Alekseeva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JN
McGhee vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JH
HC
Horth vs CowanPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RS
Yadong vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
MO
Borralho vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
RV
CB
Vieira vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
FP
JE
Padilla vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
ML
WC
Lima vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
TW
JQ
Waters vs QuinlanMain Card · Welterweight
MB
JC
Buday vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
CJ
Durden vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
IA
SE
Alekseeva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JN
McGhee vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JH
HC
Horth vs CowanPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Waters v Quinlan
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Waters 9-2
VS
6-3 Quinlan
6'5"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
31
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.6
strikes landed / min
3.6
42%
striking accuracy
42%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
6.4
52%
striking defence
53%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
67%
takedown accuracy
11%
84%
takedown defence
71%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Quinlan VALUE
“Josh Quinlan Josh Quinlan Quinlan is my pick and I think he's knocking Trey Waters Trey Waters Waters out”
$1.57
MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Quinlan VALUE
“Josh Quinlan Josh Quinlan Quinlan is my pick and I think he's knocking Trey Waters Trey Waters Waters out”
$1.57
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Trey Waters
“I'm going with Martin buday”
MMA EXPERTS picks Trey Waters
“I'm going with Martin buday”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Quinlan VALUE
“I lean slightly to Josh Quinlan who's sitting at 8 500”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Quinlan VALUE
“I lean slightly to Josh Quinlan who's sitting at 8 500”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Josh Quinlan
“I'm still gonna side with Josh Quinlan to win this match up and also guys if you go re-watch Trey Waters in his most threesome fire it wasn't even like too active you know I wasn't doing too much he was just waiting for like a good counter punch and he did find that shot but against Quinlan it may be more difficult”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Josh Quinlan
“I'm still gonna side with Josh Quinlan to win this match up and also guys if you go re-watch Trey Waters in his most threesome fire it wasn't even like too active you know I wasn't doing too much he was just waiting for like a good counter punch and he did find that shot but against Quinlan it may be more difficult”
KU
Kunath picks Trey Waters
“I'm actually going to go with the short notice replacement I'm gonna pick Trey Waters to win this fight”
Kunath picks Trey Waters
“I'm actually going to go with the short notice replacement I'm gonna pick Trey Waters to win this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Josh Quinlan
“my pick is Quinlan”
Kunath picks Josh Quinlan
“my pick is Quinlan”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Trey Waters
“I'm going Trey Waters man”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Trey Waters
“I'm going Trey Waters man”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Josh Quinlan
“Josh Quinlan so I'll put Josh Quinlan on this one”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Josh Quinlan
“Josh Quinlan so I'll put Josh Quinlan on this one”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Josh Quinlan
“I'll go Josh Quinlan here but again I'm just enjoying this newcomer versus newcomer should be a good one you uh Josh Quinlan has this uh this really good knockout ability”
Premium-Picks picks Josh Quinlan
“I'll go Josh Quinlan here but again I'm just enjoying this newcomer versus newcomer should be a good one you uh Josh Quinlan has this uh this really good knockout ability”
AM
Artem MMA picks Trey Waters
“Trey Waters obviously wants to get into the UFC ... I just don't think this is one of them”
Artem MMA picks Trey Waters
“Trey Waters obviously wants to get into the UFC ... I just don't think this is one of them”
WP
We Want Picks picks Trey Waters
“No direct quote; inferred from card predictions”
We Want Picks picks Trey Waters
“No direct quote; inferred from card predictions”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Waters9-2
L
Patterson
Sep '25
W
Goff
May '24
W
Quinlan
Apr '23
Quinlan6-3
L
Fugitt
Jun '24
L
Barlow
Feb '24
L
Waters
Apr '23
W
Witt
Aug '22